SpaceX Predicted Lunar Impact on August 5, 2026, Says Expert

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A SpaceX rocket is predicted to collide with the Moon on August 5, 2026, according to a report by detikcom, citing scientific analysis of its trajectory. The event, if confirmed, would mark the first known intentional impact of a human-made object on the lunar surface since the 1970s.

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The predicted collision involves a spent Falcon 9 rocket stage, part of the Blue Ghost Mission 1, which was launched in 2025 as part of a private lunar delivery contract. According to the report, the rocket’s orbital path was calculated by independent space analysts, including Bill Gray, a researcher associated with the Project Pluto initiative, which tracks near-Earth objects. Gray’s analysis, shared via social media and space-tracking platforms, suggests the rocket will reach an apogee of approximately 400,000 kilometers before descending into a lunar impact.

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The Moon’s orbit is influenced by gravitational interactions with Earth and the Sun, making precise trajectory predictions challenging. However, the report states that the rocket’s current trajectory aligns with a 2025-010D designation, a classification used by the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) to monitor objects in cislunar space. NASA’s LRO data, accessed through the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera (LROC) team, indicates the rocket’s path intersects with a region near the Einstein Crater, though the exact impact site remains uncertain.

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Scientists involved in the analysis emphasize that the collision is not a result of a malfunction but a consequence of the rocket’s uncontrolled reentry. “This is a rare but not unprecedented event,” said Dr. Sarah Noble, a planetary scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, in a statement. “While intentional impacts are used for scientific study—such as the 2009 LCROSS mission—this case involves a discarded rocket stage, which lacks the precision of controlled landings.”

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The potential