Supernova Climate Change: Ancient Earth & Future Risk
- The cataclysmic deaths of massive stars,known as supernovas,may have triggered dramatic climate shifts on Earth throughout its history,new research indicates.
- Supernovas occur when stars far larger than the sun exhaust their nuclear fuel, leading to gravitational collapse and the creation of either a neutron star or a black...
- A supernova exploding within approximately 30 light-years of Earth would likely strip away the atmosphere, resulting in the extinction of all life, researchers estimate.
Supernova Explosions May Have Impacted Earth’s Climate
Updated June 18,2025
The cataclysmic deaths of massive stars,known as supernovas,may have triggered dramatic climate shifts on Earth throughout its history,new research indicates. Understanding these past events could be crucial in predicting and preparing for similar occurrences in the future, scientists say.
Supernovas occur when stars far larger than the sun exhaust their nuclear fuel, leading to gravitational collapse and the creation of either a neutron star or a black hole. This process unleashes tremendous energy and high-speed particles that can traverse vast distances.
A supernova exploding within approximately 30 light-years of Earth would likely strip away the atmosphere, resulting in the extinction of all life, researchers estimate. However, even supernovas occurring hundreds of light-years away could still cause significant atmospheric changes.
Robert Brakenridge, a senior researcher at the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, said abrupt environmental changes have occurred throughout Earth’s history. He added that determining the causes of these changes is vital, as future supernovas could significantly impact human society.Brakenridge emphasized the need to investigate whether supernovas caused environmental changes in the past.
Brakenridge’s research differs from previous studies that focused on the physics of supernovas. Instead, he applied existing theories to observed evidence of such events on Earth and in space.
Tree Rings as supernova Recorders
Brakenridge analyzed data from space telescopes to model how supernova radiation interacts wiht Earth’s atmosphere.The model suggests a supernova’s high-energy photons would deplete Earth’s ozone layer, which protects the planet from harmful solar radiation.
The depletion of the ozone layer would then degrade methane in the stratosphere, a key component in Earth’s greenhouse effect. This reduction in methane would diminish the greenhouse effect, leading to global cooling and increased exposure to harmful ultraviolet radiation. Brakenridge predicts potential consequences such as animal extinctions, increased wildfires, and global cooling.

As real-time testing is impossible, Brakenridge examined tree rings, which can reveal past atmospheric conditions. Trees absorb atmospheric carbon, and supernova radiation should increase radioactive carbon isotopes. Analyzing tree ring records spanning 15,000 years, Brakenridge identified 11 spikes in radioactive carbon, potentially corresponding to 11 supernova blasts.
Brakenridge said the events observed on Earth align in timing and intensity with potential supernova events.
Though, he acknowledges that solar flares could also cause these spikes. To differentiate between the two, researchers plan to cross-reference tree-ring data with evidence from ice cores and ocean sediment.
What’s next
Further research into the connection between supernova radiation and Earth’s atmosphere could help humanity prepare for future events, especially as the red giant star Betelgeuse, approximately 700 light-years away, is predicted to go supernova within the next 100,000 years.
Brakenridge concluded that increased knowledge of neighboring stars will improve predictive capabilities.He emphasized the need for further modeling and observation to fully understand Earth’s exposure to such events.
