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Lithuania will experience volatile weather conditions through May 16, 2026, characterized by a combination of thunderstorms, significant wind gusts, and a temporary return of frost, according to forecasts from the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service.

Ruduo, a synoptician with the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service, indicated that weather patterns will fluctuate significantly over the coming days, alternating between warmer air masses and periods of instability.

Forecast for May 14, 2026

Conditions on May 14, 2026, are expected to begin with few clouds across most of the country during the morning. However, cloud cover is predicted to increase as the day progresses.

During the afternoon and evening, convective rain clouds are likely to form, particularly in western regions. These clouds are expected to bring short-term rainfall, lightning, and thunder. During these thunderstorms, wind gusts may reach speeds of 15 to 17 meters per second.

The probability of rain will be lowest in the eastern parts of the country. Winds will primarily blow from the south with moderate strength, and daytime temperatures are expected to reach between 15 and 20 degrees Celsius.

Temperature Drop and Frost on May 15, 2026

A shift in conditions is expected during the night of May 15, 2026, as clouds dissipate and skies clear. Short periods of rain may occur in some locations during the beginning of the night, accompanied by weak winds.

Due to the clearing skies and calmer winds, temperatures are expected to drop more rapidly. Morning temperatures on May 15, 2026, are forecast to be between 4 and 9 degrees Celsius, with ground frost predicted in some areas, reaching between 0 and minus 3 degrees Celsius.

During the day on May 15, 2026, cloud cover will increase again, though sunny intervals will remain frequent. Isolated convective clouds may form in the afternoon, primarily in western regions, bringing short-term rain and a low probability of thunderstorms.

The arrival of a warmer air mass will push afternoon temperatures up to 17 to 22 degrees Celsius. A notable exception will be the Curonian Spit, where temperatures will only reach 14 to 16 degrees Celsius due to the influence of surrounding cool waters. Winds will be light and blow from the southeast.

Outlook for May 16, 2026

Variable cloudiness is expected to persist through May 16, 2026. Rainfall is predicted in some locations during the night, with short-term rain expected across most of the country during the day.

Thunderstorms are also possible in various locations on May 16, 2026. Winds will remain light and will change direction throughout the day.

Nighttime temperatures are forecast to range from 5 to 10 degrees Celsius. Daytime temperatures are expected to reach 17 to 22 degrees Celsius, although the western edge of the country will be cooler, with temperatures between 13 and 16 degrees Celsius.