Texas Pulse and Texas A&M Bush School Poll July 2026

A Texas Pulse and Texas A&M Bush School poll conducted July 27 to 30, 2026, shows Talarico leading Ken Paxton 47% to 43% among likely voters. This represents a shift from a June poll that showed the candidates tied at 46% each, according to reporting from Politico.

The survey included 619 likely Texas voters, with 455 of those respondents completing the poll. The data indicates a four-point lead for Talarico in a race that was previously deadlocked.

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Talarico and Paxton Polling Shift

The July 27-30 poll marks the first recorded movement in the standings between Talarico and Paxton since June. According to the Politico report, the candidates were locked in a 46-46% tie during the previous month’s polling cycle.

Current figures place Talarico at 47% and Paxton at 43%. The results are based on the responses of 619 likely voters identified by the Texas Pulse and Texas A&M Bush School research team.

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Texas Pulse and Texas A&M Bush School Methodology

The polling was conducted over a four-day window ending July 30, 2026. While 619 likely voters were contacted, the final dataset utilized 455 completed responses to determine the current standing of the candidates.