Thai Stocks: “Trinity” Positive Outlook December
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Thailand Stock Market Outlook: December 2025 – Trinity Securities Analysis
Table of Contents
“Trinity” Securities anticipates a positive outlook for the Thai stock market in December 2025. The market is expected to find support around 1,230 points and potentially test resistance at 1,300 points, fueled by anticipated positive catalysts including potential interest rate reductions from both the U.S.Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Thailand. Fund flows into stock funds have already surpassed levels seen two years ago, with a preference for investments linked to the domestic and regional economies.
Mr. Natchat Mekmasin,Senior Assistant Managing Director of the Securities Analysis Department at Trinity Securities Company Limited,believes the stock market will enter a recovery phase in December,following the dissipation of recent short-term headwinds. These included weaker-than-expected third-quarter corporate performance and selling pressure from foreign investors related to MSCI index adjustments.
At a Glance: December 2025 Thai Stock Market
- Forecast: Recovery Mode
- Support Level: 1,230 points
- Resistance Level: 1,300+ points
- key Drivers: Fed & MPC interest rate policies, seasonal factors (high season for consumption & tourism), domestic liquidity.
- Recent Trends: Increased fund flows into stock funds, surpassing levels from 2 years ago.
- What’s Next: Monitor fed and MPC decisions, track tourism and consumption data, observe fund flow trends.
What’s Driving the Optimism?
Several factors are contributing to Trinity Securities’ optimistic outlook. The anticipated end of the Fed’s Quantitative Tightening (QT) program is a significant positive. More importantly, the market currently hasn’t fully priced in the possibility of interest rate cuts from both the Fed and the MPC. These potential cuts would lower borrowing costs for companies and consumers,stimulating economic activity and boosting stock valuations.
Furthermore, December traditionally marks the beginning of the high season for both consumption and tourism in Thailand.This seasonal surge in economic activity is expected to provide additional support to the market. domestic liquidity, boosted by tax relief funds, is likely to flow into investment vehicles, including stocks.
Key Levels to Watch
Trinity Securities identifies key support and resistance levels for the Thai stock market in December:
- Support Level: 1,230 points – This level represents a potential floor for the market. A bounce from this level could signal further upside potential.
- Resistance Level: 1,300+ points – Breaking above this level would confirm the recovery trend and suggest further gains.
Sector Focus & Recommended Stocks
Investors are showing a preference for stocks linked to the domestic and regional economies. Trinity Securities recommends considering the following 10 stocks (Disclaimer: This is based on limited data and requires further due diligence. This is not financial advice.