There will be no revival in the Trump administration…The critical moment when a US historian with a “100%” accuracy rate was convinced of “President Harris” The rapid trend of “uniting Harris” attracted the “key” |.

Who will win the US presidential election on November 5th? Misako Hida, a journalist living in New York, thoroughly explains the “final prediction” of Alan Lichtman, a historian who has been correct in almost all of his predictions for the US presidential election over the last 40 years.

Photo = AFP/Jiji Press Photo

American University historian and professor Alan Lichtman speaks to AFP in Bethesda, Maryland, on September 7, 2024. He created a model using 13 truth/false criteria to predict whether a presidential candidate would win or lose in the next election, and he was correct in every election except one.

“Presidential election Nostradamus” predicts “Mr Harris will win”

“Mr. Harris wins.”

On September 5, American University Distinguished Professor Emeritus Alan Lichtman, who is known as a leading figure in US presidential election predictions, predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris (Democratic Party) would win.a predictionhe did According to the professor, who has been called the ‘Nostradamus of presidential election predictions” by several media outlets in the United States, former President Donald Trump is expected to lose for the second time in the November presidential election.

Lichtman is a historian who got almost every prediction right during the 1984-2020 US presidential election. Early on the 5th, he announced his first preview in a video appearance on the New York Times. On the same night (the morning of the 6th, Japan time), he presented a detailed analysis on his own live stream. Not only the domestic media and voters, but many people around the world were waiting anxiously for the professor’s prediction.

Professor Lichtman also showed his true potential in the presidential election of 2016. While the US media all predicted Hillary Clinton’s victory, they predicted Trump’s victory.

The only time the prediction was wrong was the 2000 presidential election, where there was a close race between Republican George Bush (child) and Democrat Al Gore, but the professor said some media outlets had a “90%” accuracy rate. oppose the report. In the 2000 election, the two sides engaged in a legal battle, and it took more than a month to settle on a victory for Mr Bush, but the professor pointed out that there were problems with the counting of votes in the focal state of Florida It is said that

Mr Gore, who the professor predicted would win the popular vote, outnumbered Mr Bush in the total number of votes, as predicted, but ultimately lost in the number of electoral votes. With the exception of this “unusual presidential election”, the professor has a record of winning and losing in every case.

I have previously interviewed Professor Lichtman before the 2020 presidential election and in February this year (Toyo Keizai Weekly and Toyo Keizai Online). This time, with the teacher’s permission to write about the live streaming above and use live images, we will give a thorough explanation of Harris’ prediction of victory.