Trump’s Foreign Policy Gains and Risks
- Donald Trump's team is embarking on the most wide and simultaneous high -level diplomatic negotiations in years, in which they participate China, Ukraine,Russia ,Iran , Half East...
- The big question this week, while the president undertakes his first great trip abroad of his second term, is whether this thorbelino of agreements of agreements will...
- there is some irony in the intervention of the administration on so many fronts.
CNN
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Donald Trump‘s team is embarking on the most wide and simultaneous high -level diplomatic negotiations in years, in which they participate China, Ukraine,Russia ,Iran , Half East and multiple global commercial rivals.
The big question this week, while the president undertakes his first great trip abroad of his second term, is whether this thorbelino of agreements of agreements will improve the strategic position of the United States or if he will end up moving the allies away and strengthening the enemies.
there is some irony in the intervention of the administration on so many fronts. After all, Trump is the president who prioritizes “United States”, chosen to reduce prices in the United States and clean up the southern border, instead of arbitrating border disputes from other countries.
But the conversations that cover many global issues also reflect Trump’s determination to impose his ideas and authority worldwide and his attempts to tear down political, diplomatic and economic systems that have endured for decades.
Their policies entail a considerable risk, since Trump’s unilateral and unilateral plans to revolutionize global trade, exercise American power over smaller nations, address Iran’s nuclear program, contain China and stop the Matanzas in Ukraine could be counterproductive.
It is indeed difficult to follow the rhythm of an administration that has its finger in so many geopolitical issues.
This weekend,the Treasury Secretary,Scott Besent,met with Chinese commercial negotiators in Switzerland and reported positive advances. In Omananother group of American officials held direct, difficult and unfinished conversations, with Iranian negotiators about Tehran’s nuclear program. The Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, and the Vice -President, JD Vance, They contributed to forge a high fire after an alarming escalation between India and Pakistan. Trump’s pressure forced the president of Ukraine, Volodymir Zelensky, to accept conversations with Vladimir Putin in Türkiye, but Costa to improve Moscow’s position.
Sunday, trump announced that Hamas He had agreed to free Edan Alexander, the last American hostage alive in gaza.The measure seems to be an attempt to pressure Israel to start high fire conversations and receive humanitarian aid before Trump travels to the region.
All this happened days after Trump closed A commercial agreement with Great Britain and before leaving Monday towards Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates on a trip that will highlight their personal affinity with the richer nations in the world and the growing political and economic influence of the Gulf region.
This intense activity is not what many foreign policy experts necessarily expected when Trump returned to power in January, but he contains the promise that the most disruptive president in modern history could accumulate victories in foreign policy that relieve global tensions.
Even so,diplomatic bustle does not mean progress in itself. Many of the conversations, including those related to Trump’s tariff war with China and Iran. Others, such as the government’s prorous position on war in ukraine, raise doubts about their impartiality. And the ruthless reduction by Trump of the foreign aid of the United States Agency for International Progress (USAID), especially for the fight against HIV/AIDSit could mean that many people face death or starvation.
There are some common trends in all foreign policy tactics.
In most cases, negotiations are leading officials without experience in global diplomacy. Trump’s friend and envoy,Steve Witkoffwho is deeply involved in the diplomacy of the Middle East,Ukraine and Iran,is,like Trump,a real estate investor. His prominence fits with the distrust of the president towards the foreign policy officials of the establishment and the promotion of external actors. But sometimes, his naivety seems like a disadvantage. Witkoff often comes out of Meetings with Putin promoting the misinformation and expansionist propaganda of Russia. Similarly, Besent has no experience in the exhaustive, prolonged and formal conversations that chinese officials prefer in negotiations, especially in complex commercial matters.
Any negotiation, at any time, can be ruined by the unorthodox and volatile approach of Trump. The commercial confrontation with China plunged into a real crisis when the president arbitrarily raised the tariffs at 145%, based on a heart, which had the effect of closing one of the most crucial commercial relations in the world. Before the weekend conversations, Trump said he was willing to reduce them to 80%. President’s admirers see this unpredictability as the genius of a negotiator.But he is also playing the roulette with the global markets and,therefore,with the savings for the retirement of millions of Americans.Uncertainty increases the probability of a recession.
Trump’s capryness looms over all negotiations. His perpetual role as the bad police who launches extreme rhetorical on social networks can be a useful negotiation tool for officials, who can argue that the president could be enraged if the conversations fail. And Trump’s ability to break molds can forge opportunities that other presidents disdained; For example, his notable first mandate peaks with the North Korean tyrant Kim Jong un.