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Trump’s US and Finland’s Security Cooperation: Still Relevant?

Tässäkö se nyt oli?

Suomesta tuli sotilasliitto Naton jäsen liki kolme vuotta sitten, huhtikuussa 2023. ‍Nato-jäsenyyden ⁢ja Yhdysvaltojen ydinasepelotteen piti turvata Suomen ⁢itsenäisyys ⁤Venäjän naapurissa.

“Ei koskaan enää⁣ yksin”, poliitikot toistelivat,⁤ kun Suomi oli tehnyt Nato-päätöksensä.

Viime‌ viikkoina Yhdysvaltain presidentiltä⁣ on kuitenkin kuultu kovia ‌uhkauksia Tanskaa ja Grönlantia, omia liittolaisiaan kohtaan.

Riittikö Natosta ja etenkin Yhdysvalloista lopulta turvaa vain pariksi ​vuodeksi? Vieläkö Natosta on Suomen‌ ja Euroopan ⁤turvallisuuden takaajaksi?

Ossa visited NATO headquarters on​ Tuesday, the ‍day before Donald Trump gave a speech at the Davos⁢ Economic Forum in which he demanded ⁢a “big price” from Denmark. In the speech, Trump‌ said he ⁢would not use military force to take ‍Greenland.

According to Ossa,⁤ the atmosphere at ​headquarters⁢ was calm and everyday work continued, even though there is a political crisis ‌within NATO.

– Their⁢ message was that this is⁤ the new normal ⁢and you just have to live with it, Ossa describes.

Heljä Ossa was‍ at‍ NATO ⁢headquarters presenting her employer, the London⁤ School of Economics (LSE),’s research⁢ project on ⁤deterrence⁤ based on conventional weapons.

Heljä ​Ossa, who ⁣has studied European defense independence and military deterrence, believes that Finland can still rely on ​the United States as a NATO ally, even though the United States has changed during ‍the presidency of Donald Trump.

Eurostar‌ train, Trump expected in Davos

At the same time as US ‌President Donald Trump‌ is expected in‍ Davos, Switzerland on Wednesday,‌ research professor Karsten Friis is ⁣traveling by Eurostar ‍train from London to Brussels.

Friis works researching security and⁢ defense at the Norwegian ⁣Institute for foreign policy and has previously worked in the Norwegian Armed​ Forces.

Karsten Friis believes ⁤that Finland’s NATO membership is still a wise⁤ decision. It also supports the defense of ‍Norway and the Baltic‌ states.

Like a couple of years ago

The intentions‍ of the United States regarding NATO⁣ have been speculated as the president across the ocean changed.

President Alexander Stubb denied on ⁤Wednesday in Davos that ‍NATO is falling apart.‌ According to Stubb,a stronger NATO​ is emerging,where‌ europe ⁣takes more responsibility.

The state leadership has assured,through⁢ the Prime Minister,the President,and⁢ moast recently Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen (kok.), that Finland is not in danger.

Valtonen also reminded ‍on Tuesday⁤ that all NATO countries​ are committed to Article Five, i.e. NATO’s mutual assistance and collective defense.Finland is‌ ready to strengthen‍ security in the Arctic region, and this task ⁤will also be assigned ‌to ​it and six other ⁤countries ⁢in NATO’s “Arctic 7” ​group.

Heljä Ossa points out that Finland too must⁢ recognize that the United States ‌is no longer the same⁣ ally as it was known⁣ as​ a ⁢NATO partner and as 2023 as an ⁣ally.

– All these⁣ European defense solutions, such as JEF and Nordic cooperation, are becoming increasingly important.

JEF, or the ⁤British-led Joint Expeditionary Force, is a defense cooperation group of ten European countries.

The role⁣ of Great Britain has become notably ⁣prominent over the years. A strengthening relationship was indicated,​ for example, by​ the then⁤ Prime Minister of⁤ Great Britain ‌

Presidentit Donald Trump ja Alexander Stubb poseeraavat golf-asuissa Mar-a_Lagossa.

Alexander Stubb golffasi⁤ Donald‍ Trumpin kanssa​ 29.‌ maaliskuuta 2025 ‍Floridassa. Kuva: Daniel Torok / Valkoinen talo

“Pakko on paras motivaatio”

But it will⁤ take ⁣years, Friis says.

Although‍ there are political⁢ problems ⁣in Nato, the structure works.⁣ Friis believes that as‍ much as possible should ​be preserved, but implemented⁢ with ⁤European forces.

According‌ to Friis, things ⁣in nato usually happen at‍ the initiative of⁢ the United States. If ​Europe​ took responsibility, it would have to be able to decide what nato should focus ​on. And that is not easy.

If the united ⁣States withdrew, Europeans would have to develop and acquire more air-to-air⁣ refueling capabilities for aircraft, long-range missiles ⁤and weapons,⁢ as ⁢well as intelligence and command systems.

petteri Orpo, Alexander Stubb ja Donald Trump keskustelevat Valkoisessa talossa.would consider deploying military force to⁤ Greenland, and the‍ sale of icebreakers would ​also have⁤ to ⁤be reconsidered with the rest ‌of Europe, Friis ⁢says.

Ossa is a little more blunt.

– ⁣In that case, Finland⁢ has no ⁣choice but to seriously consider this,‍ and perhaps even⁣ cancel the ​deals, Ossa says.

Heljä ⁢Ossa believes the F-35 fighter​ jet deal is an even more challenging ​issue then the icebreakers, because Finland needs new fighters.

– It may be that this is ‍an issue where Finland may have⁢ to‌ swallow⁤ the ​situation and proceed with the deals.

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