UFC 316: Predictions, Odds & Best Bets
- UFC 316 features a highly anticipated rematch between Sean O'Malley and bantamweight champion merab Dvalishvili.
- Another key matchup is Kayla Harrison's challenge against women's bantamweight champion Julianna Pena.
- Despite both fighters' history of early finishes, this matchup favors a longer fight.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O’Malley 2 Predictions and Best Bets
Updated June 7, 2025
UFC 316 features a highly anticipated rematch between Sean O’Malley and bantamweight champion merab Dvalishvili. The central question revolves around whether O’Malley has sufficiently adapted his training and personal life to counter Dvalishvili’s relentless pressure and pace. Their first encounter saw Dvalishvili dominate, prompting O’Malley to make significant changes in preparation for this second fight.
Another key matchup is Kayla Harrison’s challenge against women’s bantamweight champion Julianna Pena. Harrison, a two-time Olympic gold medalist, aims to capture her first UFC title. Pena, currently in her second championship reign, faces the challenge of overcoming Harrison’s size and skill, similar to her surprising 2021 victory over Amanda Nunes.
Here are some best bets for the UFC 316 main card fights:
Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland
Over 1.5 rounds (-175)
Despite both fighters’ history of early finishes, this matchup favors a longer fight. luque’s grappling strength contrasts with Holland’s striking advantage. Their competence in each other’s areas of expertise suggests the fight will extend beyond the first half of the second round.
Mario bautista vs. patchy Mix
Patchy Mix moneyline (-180)
patchy Mix, a former Bellator champion, makes his UFC debut against Bautista. Mix’s experience and adjustments since his 2020 loss position him as a difficult opponent for Bautista.The moneyline is favored, anticipating Mix’s ability to outwork Bautista over three rounds.
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer
fight to go the distance: Yes (-105)
Pyfer’s size and rising skillset meet Gastelum’s experience. While Pyfer might potentially be too strong for Gastelum to secure a win, Gastelum’s savvy could extend the fight to its conclusion. The prediction leans towards the fight lasting the distance.
Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison via submission or TKO/KO/DQ (-175)
Harrison is heavily favored due to her takedown ability. Once on the ground, it’s likely Harrison will finish the fight with strikes or a submission. The “double chance” bet offers a safer option, anticipating Harrison securing a finish within the distance.
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley
Merab Dvalishvili via decision (-160)
Dvalishvili’s pace and pressure proved problematic for O’Malley in their first fight. While an upset is absolutely possible, Dvalishvili winning by decision seems the most probable outcome, given his relentless style. Expect O’Malley to perform better, but Dvalishvili’s pressure remains a significant challenge.
What’s next
Following UFC 316, the focus shifts to analyzing the outcomes and their implications for the bantamweight and women’s bantamweight divisions.The results will likely shape future title contenders and influence matchmaking decisions within the UFC.
