UK Economy Shrinks: GDP, Taxes & Trade War Impact
UK Economy Contracts Amid Job Losses and Tariff concerns
Updated June 12, 2025
The UK economy experienced a 0.3% contraction in April,according to the Office for National Statistics. This downturn follows growth of 0.2% in March and 0.5% in February. Businesses are reportedly cutting jobs and halting investment due to increased taxes and uncertainty stemming from escalating US import tariffs, impacting economic growth.
Economists had anticipated a smaller 0.1% contraction. The latest figures highlight worries that rising employer national insurance contributions and the global impact of US tariffs are harming the UK’s economic growth prospects.
Recent data from HMRC indicates a significant drop in employment. The number of workers on company payrolls decreased by 109,000 in May, marking the largest monthly decline since the initial COVID-19 lockdown in 2020. Since Rachel Reeves’s autumn budget, Britain has seen over 250,000 job losses.
The timing of this data is particularly challenging. It arrives just a day after the chancellor presented plans to boost the economy through a three-year spending review, perhaps undermining the government’s efforts to demonstrate economic improvement.
What’s next
Further economic data and policy responses will be closely watched to determine the trajectory of the UK economy in the coming months.
