Week 11 NFL Odds: Big Spreads & Betting Picks for All Matchups

News Context

At a glance

Lions vs. Jaguars

Spread: Lions -13.5
Overview: This is the largest spread of the season. Detroit has won seven games in a row and recently had its cover streak end. Jacksonville has covered four straight, despite losing three games outright.
Model Insight: The SportsLine model predicts a high chance one side of the total hits.

Packers at Bears

Spread: Bears +6
Overview: Chicago has not scored a touchdown in 23 drives and recently fired its offensive coordinator. Green Bay’s quarterback has the highest interceptions in the league.
Model Insight: The model expects significant yardage from multiple players and creates many turnovers.

Raiders at Dolphins

Spread: Dolphins -7.5
Overview: Las Vegas is coming off a bye. Miami has excelled against weak teams even with a short week.
Model Insight: One quarterback is projected to throw an interception with nearly 100% certainty.

Rams at Patriots

Spread: Patriots +4
Overview: Los Angeles has a poor record against teams with a rest advantage. New England struggles despite having a longer rest.
Model Insight: The model shows one side of the spread hits significantly in simulations.

Browns at Saints

Spread: Saints +1.5
Overview: New Orleans snapped a losing streak last week. Jameis Winston and Deshaun Watson have matching TD to INT ratios this season.
Model Insight: A strong possibility exists for one side of the spread hitting in 70% of simulations.

Ravens at Steelers

Spread: Steelers +3
Overview: Both teams have an even spread record in their last 20 meetings. Baltimore has the best scoring offense, while Pittsburgh boasts a strong defense.
Model Insight: The model forecasts one team allowing more points than average this season.

Vikings at Titans

Spread: Titans +5.5
Overview: Tennessee holds the worst ATS record this season. Minnesota recently broke a lengthy losing trend.
Model Insight: A team’s defense is expected to score more fantasy points than all skill positions.

Colts at Jets

Spread: Jets -4
Overview: The Colts have struggled recently after a strong start. Both quarterbacks are among the oldest in the league.
Model Insight: The model expects numerous combined turnovers and sacks.

Falcons at Broncos

Spread: Broncos -1.5
Overview: Denver remains undefeated ATS as a favorite. Both teams have seen a trend toward the Over in recent games.
Model Insight: One side of the total hits in over 50% of simulations.

Seahawks at 49ers

Spread: 49ers -6
Overview: San Francisco has a strong ATS record against Seattle. The Under has been successful for both teams recently.
Model Insight: One side of the spread is favored in over 50% of simulations.

Chiefs at Bills

Spread: Bills -2.5
Overview: Patrick Mahomes has a strong ATS history as an underdog. This matchup is noteworthy for the rivalry between him and Josh Allen.
Model Insight: The model supports one side of the spread in 60% of simulations.

Bengals at Chargers

Spread: Chargers -1.5
Overview: Both teams are performing well against the spread in recent games. Tee Higgins may return to bolster Cincinnati’s offense.
Model Insight: The model favors one team on the money line in over 60% of simulations.

Texans at Cowboys

Spread: Cowboys +7
Overview: Cooper Rush continues as the starter for Dallas, which struggles at home. Houston recently lost a significant lead in its last game.
Model Insight: The model foresees multiple players nearing significant yardage goals.