Canada prepares military response plan for potential US invasion
- Canada has prepared a military response plan for a potential United States invasion, a once-unthinkable contingency prompted by shifting geopolitical dynamics under the presidency of Donald Trump.
- Lt-Gen Christopher Coates, a former 34-year veteran of the Royal Canadian Air Force, stated that a war between Canada and the US would be complicated and almost difficult...
- Matthew Schmidt, an associate professor of national security at the University of New Haven in Connecticut, told bbc.co.uk that the fact that Canadians were preparing was a sign...
Canada has prepared a military response plan for a potential United States invasion, a once-unthinkable contingency prompted by shifting geopolitical dynamics under the presidency of Donald Trump. Prime Minister Mark Carney acknowledged the preparations in an interview with the New York Times, describing the measures as basic risk management amid trade tensions and repeated rhetoric regarding Canadian territory, bbc.com reported.
Experts Call Canada US War Difficult to Imagine
Lt-Gen Christopher Coates, a former 34-year veteran of the Royal Canadian Air Force, stated that a war between Canada and the US would be complicated and almost difficult to imagine, according to bbc.co.uk.
Matthew Schmidt, an associate professor of national security at the University of New Haven in Connecticut, told bbc.co.uk that the fact that Canadians were preparing was a sign of just how drastically the global order has shifted.
Historical Tensions Shape Modern Defense
While bilateral integration between the two countries remains deep across defense and intelligence sharing through NORAD and NATO, historical friction defines part of Canada’s political identity. Tim Foran, a researcher with the Canadian War Museum, told bbc.com that fear of US expansionism is foundational to the Canadian political project, noting that early colonies resisted absorption during the American Revolution and the War of 1812.
Andrew Burtch, another researcher with the Canadian War Museum, told bbc.com that Canadian military planners previously contemplated various contingencies following World War I as American power grew, treating such drafts as standard institutional precaution rather than an expectation of imminent war.

Poll Shows Canadians Fear US Invasion Despite Low Probability
Public concern has risen alongside shifting diplomatic conditions, with a January Leger poll indicating that more than 30% of Canadians believed a US invasion was likely following the capture of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela, bbc.com reported.
Despite the strategic modeling and public polling, military experts interviewed by bbc.com emphasize that an armed assault remains a low-probability long shot due to decades of integrated continental defense cooperation.
