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Countering China in the South China Sea

August 2, 2025 Ahmed Hassan World
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At a glance
Original source: orfonline.org

A United Front in the Spratly Islands: Why Southeast Asia must act⁤ Collectively

Table of Contents

  • A United Front in the Spratly Islands: Why Southeast Asia must act⁤ Collectively
    • The Case for Collective Action
    • Addressing Concerns and Misconceptions
    • Navigating Beijing’s Response and the Path Forward

The strategic landscape of the South China Sea, especially the Spratly Islands, demands a⁤ unified approach from Southeast Asian nations. China’s assertive actions in this vital waterway, regardless of ‍specific⁤ territorial claims or overlapping interests, necessitate a collective response. ‍Allowing Beijing to fragment the spratly Islands into ⁢isolated spheres of influence, which it can then gradually dominate and occupy piecemeal, risks a slow erosion of regional stability and sovereignty. A coordinated strategy among ‍claimant states ‍is crucial to deter unilateral⁤ actions and foster a more equitable negotiation ⁣surroundings.

The Case for Collective Action

The core argument for a united ⁢front rests on the⁢ principle of shared vulnerability and the‍ strategic imperative to prevent gradual encroachment. When China acts provocatively in any part of the ⁢Spratly Islands, whether it involves occupying a feature or⁢ asserting claims that ⁢overlap with those of ⁤its neighbors, ‍all three countries with stakes in the ⁤region should have⁢ a voice. This collective engagement makes it considerably harder for Beijing to isolate individual disputes and exert dominance. By presenting a united ‍front, Southeast ⁣Asian nations can increase the cost of China’s provocative actions ⁢and compel a more measured ⁤and cooperative approach.

Addressing Concerns and Misconceptions

However, a primary concern for these ⁢nations is the potential ‍for ⁢sending the “wrong signals” to china and facing ⁢increased⁢ risks. Several points must ⁢be highlighted to contextualize this initiative:

Southeast Asia-Led‍ and Owned: This proposed mechanism is fundamentally a Southeast Asia-led and owned initiative. It deliberately excludes ‍extra-regional players, ensuring that the focus remains on the immediate ⁢stakeholders and their ⁤shared concerns.This ownership is vital for ⁤its legitimacy ⁣and effectiveness within the regional context.
Informal and Consultative Norms: The mechanism is designed to remain ⁣informal. This is a strategic choice⁢ to avoid miscommunication and to align with the established informal and consultative‍ norms that characterize the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Way. Maintaining ⁤this informal⁤ structure respects existing diplomatic⁣ protocols while⁣ facilitating coordinated action.
Nuanced Understanding of Security and Economics: A more ⁤nuanced ⁣understanding is required when deciphering the linkages between China’s security engagements and its ⁣economic cooperation with Southeast Asian countries. the narrative that one directly depends on⁣ the other is⁤ frequently enough a misinformed ‍simplification that hinders a consolidated Southeast Asian response.As a⁤ notable example, the Philippines’ commercial activities with China have‍ continued to grow, even as it has adopted⁤ a more active stance in the South China Sea to defend its ⁤Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). This pattern was also evident during the previous governance of President Benigno Aquino III,who pursued a hardline approach against China’s belligerence,yet economic⁢ ties persisted.

Navigating Beijing’s Response and the Path Forward

Despite the strategic benefits, Beijing will likely ⁤attempt to frame this cooperation as an anti-China stance orchestrated by a⁣ “troublemaker” nation, such as the ⁤Philippines, and will⁢ seek to‍ dissuade vietnam and Malaysia⁤ from participating. Each of these Southeast Asian countries ⁣will continue to engage in bilateral negotiations ⁣with⁤ Beijing on specific features like the Scarborough Shoal ‍and⁣ the Paracel Islands.Though, they must⁣ not forgo the opportunity to⁢ work collectively in the Spratly Islands.

Such collective action can serve as a powerful deterrent against China’s unilateral activities in one part of the‍ South China Sea. More importantly,it can compel China to negotiate more equitably,setting a crucial ⁣precedent for other disputed features within the maritime domain. With sustained success, this unified⁤ approach coudl also encourage Brunei to strengthen its own⁣ position in the ⁤disputed waters.

Thus, Manila, Hanoi, and Putrajaya must harness the necessary political will to prioritize long-term regional⁤ stability and prosperity. A united Southeast Asia‍ in⁤ the Spratly Islands is not merely a ⁤diplomatic aspiration;⁤ it is indeed a strategic necessity for safeguarding shared interests and ensuring a⁤ peaceful,⁤ rules-based order in⁣ the ⁢Indo-Pacific.

*

Don McLain Gill is⁣ a Philippines-based geopolitical analyst, author, and lecturer at the Department of ‍International ⁢Studies, De La Salle University (DLSU).*

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