Cuomo Leads NYC Mayor Poll, Mamdani Rising – NBC New York
Andrew Cuomo’s lead in the NYC mayoral race is shrinking, according to a new poll, yet he remains the frontrunner. Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is gaining ground, especially among Latino voters, making the upcoming primary election a key event for these mayoral candidates. With early voting underway, the crucial role of undecided voters and cross-endorsements becomes increasingly apparent in this tight race. Analyzing the geographic breakdown, Cuomo maintains dominance in the Bronx and expands his lead in Manhattan, while Mamdani surges in Brooklyn. The primary election outcome hangs in the balance. For in-depth analysis, news Directory 3 provides further details. Discover what’s next in this dynamic political landscape.
Cuomo Leads NYC Mayoral Race, But Lead Is Shrinking
updated June 18, 2025
Andrew Cuomo holds the lead in the New York City mayoral race, but a recent poll suggests his advantage may be slipping. The Marist poll for June indicates that Cuomo surpasses the 50% mark in the seventh round of ranked choice voting. He is the first choice of nearly 40% of likely Democratic primary voters, including those who are undecided.
Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is Cuomo’s closest rival, securing just over 25% of the vote, according to the poll.No othre candidate exceeded 10%. Early voting began June 14, with the primary set for June 24.
While Cuomo remains the frontrunner, his lead has diminished since May. He previously held a 19-point lead over Mamdani for first-choice picks, but the latest poll shows that margin has narrowed to 11 points. The NYC mayoral race and the role of each candidate is important to consider.
A important number of voters remain undecided. The poll reveals that 11% of likely Democratic primary voters are still unsure of their first choice, while another 11% did not select either Cuomo or Mamdani. this could make cross-endorsements a critical factor in the primary election outcome.
Geographically, Cuomo maintains his dominance in the Bronx, where he garners nearly half the support, consistent with May’s polling data. He has also expanded his lead in Manhattan, increasing from 32% in May to 41% in June. Mamdani’s support in Manhattan has remained stable.
Mamdani performs strongest in Brooklyn, experiencing an 11-point increase as May, reaching 36%. cuomo’s support in Kings county has remained consistent. He also leads in Queens and Staten Island. The mayoral candidates squared off in their first debate, hoping to sway voters.
Mamdani has made significant gains among Latino voters, more than doubling his support from 20% to 41%, while Cuomo’s support in that community has decreased by five points.
The poll estimates that Cuomo reaches 50% of the vote in Round 6, with only Mamdani and city Comptroller Brad Lander remaining. mamdani had 37% and Lander 13%. Despite Lander’s cross-endorsement of Mamdani, Lander’s supporters were divided on their subsequent choices. Mamdani gained six points in the seventh round, but Cuomo gained five, enough to push him over the top.
What’s next
With early voting underway, the focus shifts to mobilizing supporters and swaying undecided voters. The final days of the campaign will be crucial in determining who will secure the Democratic nomination and advance to the November election.
