Cutthroat Contest: Harris and Trump Locked in a Razor-Blade Finish

[2024 미국 대선 D-1]

Anti-immigration, abortion rights, and the economy clash over three major issues
Focus firepower on contested North Carolina

As the US presidential election continues to be a close race, Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump are doing their best to capture votes in the swing states of the cad during the last weekend before the election on the 5th. Candidate Harris appealed for support at a rally at the PNC Music Pavilion in Charlotte, North Carolina (pictured left) on the 2nd (local time), and candidate Trump held a rally at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on the 1st. Charlotte·Milwaukee=Getty Images The US presidential election, which will be held on the 5th (local time), is one day away, but the seven major battleground states (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada ) which will decide the winner is The approval ratings between the Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris and the Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump are still very close. Locally, the difference is assessed to be as subtle as ‘razor-den’. Both candidates visited the battleground states on the 2nd and 3rd, the last weekend before the presidential election, to tip the scales. In particular, they focused their firepower on North Carolina, which is considered a key battleground within the ‘Sun Belt’ (meaning the warm region of the South).

Candidate Harris and Trump held counter-campaigns in North Carolina on the 2nd. Candidate Harris appealed for support from Republican voters and swing voters who oppose candidate Trump, saying, “Trump wants to send people with different opinions to jail, but I’ll give them a seat at the same table.” On the other hand, candidate Trump began rallying supporters, saying, “We can’t risk losing North Carolina.”

Meanwhile, the two candidates are in sharp conflict as much as the competition for approval ratings, and key issues such as ‘illegal immigration’, ‘abortion’, and ‘economy’, which were hot topics throughout the presidential race , as well as ‘early turnout’ and ‘Hidden Harris (focused on white women)’ Attention is also drawn to variables such as ‘Hidden Harris (hidden Harris supporter)’ and ‘Shy Trump (hidden Trump supporter)’.

With early voting rates reaching record highs in the seven major battleground states and an assessment that the ‘gender gap’ is more pronounced than in any other election, support for candidate Harris has grown stronger recently among women white The latent effect of Harris is also considered as a variable. The point to watch is how much influence the so called Shay Trump will have.

Immigration-abortion-economy standoff until the last minute… Dependent on ‘secret votes’ on both sides

Harris: Immigrants contribute to the US economy
Trump calls it “Illegal Occupation Liberation Day”
Higher taxes on large corporations – different tariff levels… Fierce conflict over women’s right to have an abortion
White women with high support for Trump is the key

As the US presidential election progresses into an unpredictable and fierce battle to the end, ‘early turnout’, ‘Hidden Harris led by white women’, and ‘Shy Trump’ are the key variables that will determine the result of this presidential election. It is expected that it will. With early turnout at a record high, analysis suggests the outcome will hinge on the strength of the female vote supporting Democratic presidential candidate and vice president Kamala Harris and ‘Shy Trump’ votes supports Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump It comes out.

It is also expected that key issues in this year’s presidential election, such as the economy, illegal immigration, and abortion, will influence until the end. The two candidates have clashed throughout the presidential election over these issues. There is also the possibility that the order of not only the United States but also the international community could develop in a completely different way depending on the results of this presidential election.

● Three main issues: illegal immigration, abortion, and the economy.

Illegal immigration and abortion have been key issues throughout this presidential election. Candidate Trump said, “The United States has been taken over by illegal immigrants,” and “Election Day, the 5th, is the day to free the United States from illegal occupation,” and it always has the issue of illegal immigration is a key promise.

On the other hand, candidate Harris has emphasized that “immigrants contribute to American society and economy.” In addition, candidate Harris puts the issue of abortion rights at the forefront until the last minute of the election. He has repeatedly emphasized the push for legislation to legalize abortion rights, saying, “Decisions about a woman’s body should be left to the woman herself.” This is a bill that targets women’s votes.

Economic issues are also an issue that attracted the attention of voters in this presidential election. In particular, as the US Department of Labor announced on the 1st that the increase in the number of jobs in October was the lowest since 2020 due to the impact of the recent hurricane that hit the Southeast, voters’ interest in economic issues is expected. grow once more.

Both candidates fought fiercely over ways to lower prices and create jobs. Candidate Trump claims to lower prices through large-scale tax cuts and ease environmental regulations, and to bring jobs from foreign countries through the imposition of tariffs. On the other hand, candidate Harris announced that he would raise money to expand housing construction for low-income families by lowering taxes for the middle class and increasing taxes on high-income earners and large corporations. He also emphasized that he would expand jobs by increasing tax credits for manufacturing companies instead of imposing tariffs.

● 3 big variables: Early voter turnout, the women-centric Hidden Harris, Shai Trump

Early voter turnout is emerging as the biggest variable in this hotly contested presidential election. According to the University of Florida Election Research Institute, at 8:30 pm (local time) on the 2nd, more than 75 million voters participated in early voting across the United States. This amounts to approximately 47% of the total voters (approximately 158.43 million people) who voted in the 2020 presidential election. In particular, early voting rates show steep increases in the seven major battleground states that will decide the presidential election. In the states of Georgia, Michigan, and Nevada, 2020 has already surpassed the record early voting rate for the same period.

The key is which candidate will benefit from higher early voting rates. In a public opinion poll released by ABC on the 27th of last month, candidate Harris received 62% support from early voting voters. However, 38% of voters who completed early voting this year identified as Democratic and 36% as Republican, so it is too early to judge the pros and cons.

The turnout of white female voters is also an important variable. White women were very likely to support the candidate Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. However, according to the results of an Ipsos poll released on the 28th of last month, the approval rating of the candidate Harris among white female voters higher than candidate Trump’s score.

There are also predictions that ‘Shy Trump’ voters, a hidden group of Trump supporters, could become the variable that will decide the outcome of the game. This is because candidate Trump’s vote rate in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan during the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections was 2 to 5 percentage points higher than public opinion polls.