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Democrats Win Shutdown Fight: Reasons & Strategy

Okay, here’s a breakdown of ⁢the key information from‌ the provided text, focusing on the government ‍shutdown, potential resolutions, and the political⁤ dynamics at‍ play:

1. Escalation of the ‌Shutdown & Layoffs:

* ⁣ Initial⁢ Standoff: The administration (presumably under Trump) initially didn’t promptly ​fire ‍federal ⁢employees, leading Democrats to believe they had called the president’s bluff. ⁢Some Republicans also​ expressed reservations about mass layoffs.
* Layoffs Begin: After the Senate ⁢adjourned for the weekend without reopening the government,‍ Russ Vought‌ announced that layoffs had begun and ⁤were “considerable,” though details were scarce.
* Democratic Response: ‍ Democrats​ believe the administration‌ is trying to instill fear, but they are attempting to counter​ this by refusing to ‌be intimidated. They point out Trump has ‍already cut government funding without⁤ congressional approval, diminishing‌ the impact of the layoff threats.

2. Democratic Strategy ‌& Potential Divisions:

* ⁣ United⁢ Front (For ​Now): ⁤ Democrats are currently united‌ in their approach.
* House vs. senate: ‍Potential for divergence. House ⁤Democrats want a ‌ permanent extension of health-care subsidies. ⁢Senate Democrats might be willing ⁣to compromise on a⁢ shorter-term solution to end the shutdown, perhaps⁤ negotiating health care separately.
* ‍ Swalwell’s Position: Wants a​ renewal of subsidies ⁣to be written into the legislation reopening the government.

3. Potential Deal-making⁤ &‍ Swing votes:

* ​ Senate Threshold: An agreement supported by⁢ most Senate Republicans would only⁤ need ‍a few​ Democratic votes ‌to overcome a‍ filibuster.
* ⁢ Jeanne Shaheen (NH): Identified as a potential swing vote (previously opposed a shutdown). She’s had informal talks with Republicans about a deal involving insurance relief. ‍She criticizes both ⁢parties for a lack of genuine negotiation.
* ​ Need for Negotiation: Shaheen emphasizes the need for both⁢ sides to actually sit down and negotiate a solution.

4. Health Care as a Key Issue:

* Democratic Success: Democrats have successfully elevated the issue of health care in the context of the shutdown.
* Unexpected Allies:

* Marjorie‍ Taylor Greene (R-GA): Is advocating for ‍extending federal​ insurance aid as⁢ her own family would be affected by rising costs.
⁣ * ‌ ⁣ Swing District Republicans: Are pushing‍ for renewal of subsidies, ‌fearing electoral⁤ backlash.
* Trump’s‌ Shifting ⁣Attention: Trump is now monitoring polls and​ becoming concerned about ⁤the political impact of rising health-care costs,⁢ recognizing it’s‍ typically a ‍disadvantageous issue for Republicans.

5. House Action (or Inaction):

* Mike Johnson (Speaker): Has ​kept the House chamber entirely out of⁢ session.

In essence, ⁤the article ​portrays a complex situation where the‌ shutdown is escalating, Democrats are ‍trying to hold firm on ⁣health care,⁤ and ther are potential cracks ‍within the Democratic party. The issue of health care subsidies is ​becoming central, ⁤and even some Republicans are feeling ‍the pressure to⁣ address it, potentially creating an ‍opening for a deal.

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