EU Response to Trump Tariffs: Voter Opinion & Consensus
Irish Voters Divided on Trade, United on Third-Level fees
New poll reveals stark contrasts in public opinion on EU-US trade negotiations and a clear consensus on maintaining current third-level education costs.
A recent Irish Times Ipsos B&A poll has highlighted a significant divergence in public sentiment regarding the European Union’s approach to trade negotiations with the United States, particularly concerning potential tariffs. Conversely, the survey indicates a strong, unified stance among Irish voters on the issue of third-level education fees.
Tariffs: Why has Donald Trump threatened the EU again?
The poll reveals a near-even split in voter preference when it comes to the EU’s strategy in trade talks with the US. Forty-two percent of respondents believe the EU should adopt a tougher negotiating stance, even if it risks a trade war. In contrast, 39 percent favour the bloc agreeing to a 10 percent tariff to secure a trade deal.
This represents a notable shift in public risk appetite compared to April,when only 28 percent were willing to risk a trade war for a favourable deal,while a significant 58 percent advocated for negotiating a trade deal at any cost. this evolving outlook suggests a growing willingness among the Irish electorate to stand firm in international trade discussions, even with the potential for economic disruption.
The findings have implications for the Irish government,particularly concerning it’s efforts on the Occupied Territories Bill and ongoing EU-US negotiations. The poll suggests that any path forward on these issues that doesn’t meet with broad approval from the electorate will be challenging to implement.
Third-Level Fees: A Clear Mandate for Stability
In stark contrast to the division on trade, the public sentiment on third-level fees is overwhelmingly clear. Three-quarters of voters (75 percent) are in favour of maintaining the current third-level fee level at €2,000. This fee was reduced from €3,000 as part of a cost-of-living budget package in 2022.
Only a small minority, 16 percent, believe that now is the appropriate time to reinstate the fees to €3,000. This strong consensus indicates that voters are resistant to any increase in the cost of higher education, especially in the current economic climate.
The results serve as a clear signal to the government that any proposals to increase third-level fees would likely face significant public opposition. This sentiment is likely to be a recurring theme as the government navigates the challenges of managing public expectations and addressing the ongoing cost-of-living pressures throughout the autumn.
The Irish Times Ipsos B&A poll was conducted on Monday and Tuesday of this week, surveying a nationally representative sample of 1,200 Irish adults aged 18 and over. The fieldwork was carried out in-home across 120 sampling points nationwide, ensuring extensive coverage of every constituency.
Kieran O’leary is director at Ipsos B&A.
