Gold Price Eyes Breakout Amid Trade Tensions, ECB Cut

⁣ ⁢ Updated June 02, 2025

gold prices are showing signs of a potential ​breakout⁣ as renewed trade tensions and bond market volatility fuel demand for safe-haven assets. After a relatively flat May, the precious ⁢metal is attracting investors amid⁤ concerns about trade wars,⁣ persistent ​inflation, and rising debt levels in major ⁢economies.

Uncertainty surrounding trade deals⁤ is back in focus, potentially driving fresh gains ‍for gold. A continued⁤ sell-off in the U.S. and Japan bond markets could further boost the yellow metal’s appeal.

Global equities​ experienced their best month as November 2023 in May, driven by optimism‌ about easing U.S. tariff threats. However, this relief may be short-lived as new tariff announcements and concerns about a massive tax and spending package in the​ U.S.create a ⁤more challenging surroundings.

Volatility could return to⁣ the market, positioning gold to outperform other assets.

The European Central Bank (ECB) is⁣ widely expected to cut rates by 0.25 percentage point on Thursday, a move anticipated for weeks.Markets will closely monitor ECB President Christine Lagarde’s ⁣comments for​ clues⁤ about future policy moves. The U.S.jobs report ‍for April,​ due Friday, will⁤ also be a key factor influencing market sentiment ⁣and‍ gold ‌prices.‍ Traders will ⁢be watching to see if trade war jitters are starting to ⁣seep into the labor market.

Gold’s⁤ consolidation in recent weeks has allowed momentum indicators to unwind from overbought conditions.The precious metal has largely held above key ⁣support levels⁣ and a bullish trendline in place since the start of ⁢the‍ year.

A decisive move above the $3,320 ‍resistance level could pave‌ the‌ way for a ‍test‌ of the next resistance at $3,360, with further targets at $3,400, $3,435, and the all-time high of $3,500. short-term support lies between $3,245 and ⁤$3,275, followed by the ‍bullish trend line at $3,200 and the early April high at $3,167.⁢ A break‍ below $3,120 woudl signal a bearish trend, potentially leading⁤ to a ​dip toward $3,000.

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What’s next

Investors should monitor trade‌ developments, bond market activity, and key economic data releases, including the ECB decision and‍ the U.S.jobs⁢ report, to gauge the potential for further ‌movements in ‍gold prices.