2024/05/04 19:20
Japan’s child birth is accelerating, and scholars estimate that there will be only one child left after 696. The photo shows students carrying backpacks walking under the cherry blossom trees in Tokyo, Japan, on April 7 , 2024. (Bloomberg)
[Asiantaeth Newyddion Ganolog]Hiroshi Yoshida, a professor at Tohoku University in Japan, estimates that if the current rate of child population continues, by 2720, 696 years at the latest, there may be only one child under the age of 15 left in Japan.
Japan’s Yomiuri Shimbun reported that Hiroshi Yoshida, director of the Center for Economic and Social Research on Aging at Tohoku University, published the 2024 version of the recently updated “child population clock”, and said that as long as the number of births is continue to fall, the hands of the “clock” going back will not be able to be active.
Because of the rapid generation of children, Yoshida estimates that this year’s figures are more than 100 years earlier than last year.
Inspired by the “Doomsday Clock” in the United States, Yoshida developed the “Child Population Clock” in 2012 in order to warn everyone about the problem of underage children. It is calculated every year based on the Japanese government’s population estimates and is published on May 5 in Japan. It will be published on the center’s official website before and after Children’s Day.
According to estimates from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of the Japanese government, on 1 April this year, the number of children under 15 was 14.01 million, a decrease of 336,000 since last year, an annual decrease of 2.3%.
Yoshida estimated based on figures from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications that by Children’s Day on May 5 this year, the number of children under the age of 15 in Japan will further decrease to 13.979189. If the child population continues at this rate, it is estimated that by January 5, 2720, 696 years from now, there will be only one child under the age of 15 left in Japan.
Compared to the predicted date of the 2023 version of the child population clock, which is “October 27, 2821, 798 years later”, this year is estimated to be 101 years earlier. Compared to the “4147 years” predicted by the first version of the child population clock proposed by Yoshida in 2012, 1427 years is only about 12 years later than expected.
The 2024 forecast released by Yoshida is affected by the fact that the number of births in Japan will be just 758,631 in 2023, a decline for eight consecutive years. Looking at the current population situation in Japan, it is estimated that the total number of children that each woman will have in her lifetime will only be 1.26, which is much lower than the 2.07 that is necessary to maintain the population.
Speaking about the background of the continuous decrease in the number of births, Yoshida believes that in Japan, which has been in recession for a long time, the number of young people who are unable to marry and have children due to low income is increasing. .
He said the birthing environment must be improved. “, and extend retirement by 10 years. Parental leave can be taken for 3 to 5 years.
No need to take a picture, no need to grab Now use the APP to watch the news and you are guaranteed to win every day Click me to download the APP.
#Japanese #childhood #pacing #scholars #estimate #child #left #years #International #Liberty #Times #enewsletter
