Mets vs. Dodgers: 2025 MLB Picks & Best Bets – June 3
- The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets continue their four-game series Tuesday at Dodger Stadium.
- Tylor Megill (4-4, 3.52 ERA) is slated to pitch for New York.
- A SportsLine projection model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, suggests several key bets for this matchup.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored, but News Directory 3’s expert analysis finds value elsewhere in the Mets vs. Dodgers matchup on June 4, 2025. Our predictive model, simulating the game 10,000 times, strongly suggests betting on the Mets to cover the +1.5 run line, despite the Dodgers’ dominance, including their recent head-to-head record. Furthermore, the model spotlights Tylor Megill exceeding 5.5 strikeouts as a top pick. We’ve analyzed the key data—from the Dodgers’ strong money line to Megill’s remarkable strikeout stats this season—to bring you the best MLB picks. Discover which bets offer the most potential for profit. Discover what’s next …
Mets vs. Dodgers: MLB Picks and Predictions for June 4, 2025
Updated June 3, 2025
The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets continue their four-game series Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. The Mets are coming off a sweep of the Rockies, while Los Angeles won two of three against the Yankees. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
Tylor Megill (4-4, 3.52 ERA) is slated to pitch for New York. Clayton Kershaw (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is expected to take the mound for Los Angeles. The Dodgers are favored at -142 on the money line, while the Mets are +120 underdogs, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs is set at 9.
A SportsLine projection model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, suggests several key bets for this matchup. the model enters Week 11 with a profitable 13-10 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks.
MLB Betting: model’s top Picks
the model identifies three best bets for Tuesday’s Mets vs. Dodgers game:
- Dodgers ML (-143)
- Mets run line +1.5 (-172)
- Tyler Megill over 5.5 strikeouts (-128)
Dodgers to Win
Los Angeles has dominated recent matchups, winning 12 of the last 20 against New York. This includes last year’s National League Championship Series. The Dodgers have outscored the Mets 66-42 in their last 10 meetings. The model projects a Dodgers victory with over a 60% probability.
Mets Run Line
Simulations suggest New York will cover the spread. The model forecasts the Dodgers winning by an average score of 5.3 to 4.6, with the Mets covering over 60% of the time. Both teams are among the top scoring teams in baseball; Los Angeles has scored a league-best 343 runs, while New york has 260.
Tylor Megill Strikeouts
Megill has 72 strikeouts in 53.2 innings across 11 starts this season. He’s recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of those starts. The model projects six strikeouts for Megill, giving this prop a 3.5-star rating. Dodgers batters have struck out an average of 8.2 times per game this season.
What’s next
Following Tuesday’s game, the Mets and Dodgers will conclude their series with two more contests, offering further opportunities to assess these teams and their trajectories as the season progresses.