Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction: SportsLine Simulates Shohei Ohtani’s Start

The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets are set to face off on April 15, 2026, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The matchup features a high-profile pitching duel with Shohei Ohtani scheduled to take the mound for the Dodgers against the Mets’ Clay Holmes.

The game is scheduled for a first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Dodgers enter the contest as the favorites, with the money line listed at -193, while the New York Mets are the underdogs at +160.

Pitching Matchup and Player Form

Shohei Ohtani will make his third start of the 2026 season. He currently holds a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA.

In his most recent outing, Ohtani pitched six innings against the Blue Jays. During that performance, he allowed four hits and one unearned run, resulting in a no-decision.

The New York Mets will counter with Clay Holmes, who carries a 2-1 record and a 1.50 ERA into the start.

Team Standings and Momentum

The two teams enter the game with contrasting momentum. The New York Mets currently hold a 7-11 record and are struggling through a seven-game losing streak.

Conversely, the Los Angeles Dodgers have won four of their last five games. The Dodgers also hold the advantage in the current series, having won the first two games against the Mets.

Betting Analysis and Projections

Betting markets have set the over/under for total runs at 7.5. The Dodgers’ status as the -193 favorite indicates a significant edge in the eyes of oddsmakers, requiring a risk of $193 to win $100.

SportsLine has utilized a projection model to analyze the matchup, simulating the game 10,000 times to generate predictions. This model has a history of profitability in MLB betting, including a 35-29 record on top-rated money-line picks last season and nearly 30 units of profit on home run prop picks in 2025.