Hezbollah and the Changing Rules of the Game in the Region

Author and political analyst Mohammad al-Said Hassan has issued a stark warning to Hassan Nasrallah and Hezbollah, urging them to exercise caution and avoid entering a full-scale war with Israel. This warning comes 34 years after Ghazi Kanan’s message, and is based on evidence and official statements that suggest the rules of the game in the region have undergone a significant shift.

Hassan emphasizes that Iran has clearly declared its intention not to engage in a war that would benefit Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel. Despite this, Hezbollah and Nasrallah have chosen to pursue a path that ignores the changing political reality. Tehran’s interests are driven by realism, and it is easier for Iran to abandon Hezbollah and Hamas than to sacrifice its own project.

Hassan’s warning to Nasrallah is clear: he must understand the implications of Iran’s messages and the mysterious circumstances surrounding the assassination of Ismail Haniyah. Failure to do so may result in Nasrallah writing his own final message, a consequence that Hassan is eager to prevent.