Neom’s The Line: A Review of Saudi Arabia’s Megaproject
Saudi Arabia’s Enterprising NEOM Project Faces Cost Pressures and Reassessment
saudi Arabia’s flagship megaproject, NEOM, a futuristic city envisioned to be a global hub for innovation and tourism, is reportedly undergoing notable reassessments and potential job cuts due to mounting cost pressures. The ambitious undertaking, which includes the striking linear city known as “The Line,” has long been a cornerstone of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 plan to diversify its economy away from oil. Though, a shift in the global economic landscape, marked by lower oil prices and a growing budget deficit, is forcing a recalibration of its vast spending.
Economic Headwinds Force Project Re-evaluation
The sheer scale of NEOM is staggering, with initial cost estimates for the entire project been estimated to be as high as $1.5 trillion. After many years of seemingly unlimited spending,2024 began to see an abrupt shift as the Saudi budget deficit grew and the price of a barrel of oil fell well below what the kingdom needs to balance its budget.
“It’s clear that if oil prices, as you were saying earlier, are around $70 a barrel, that’s a very different surroundings than if they are $100 a barrel, where they were on average in 2022,” said Callen from the Arab Gulf States Institute. International benchmark Brent crude was trading at $70.15 per barrel at 2:15 p.m. London time on Friday.
“So many of these projects are going to have to be reassessed,reprioritized. Does that mean NEOM is not going to happen? No, I think NEOM will definitely continue in some form. But whether it’s on a smaller scale and over a longer duration than originally envisaged, is quite likely, I think.”
‘Yes Man’ Mentality and the Need for realistic Projections
There has also been a fair amount of criticism for what some in the kingdom describe as a “yes-man” mentality at NEOM, where consultants and advisors are said to provide highly optimistic forecasts and cost-revenue projections in an effort to stay in their employers’ favor.
“I don’t think expectations were managed well from a leadership viewpoint at the project level,” Tarik solomon, chairman emeritus at the American Chamber of Commerce in Saudi Arabia, told CNBC.
“For a project of this scale to succeed, it has to adjust to market realities and it has to build trust.”
Solomon praised NEOM and The Line as being ”one of the boldest ideas I’ve seen that has actually gone into execution,” but added that “the architectural and consulting firms involved have an important role hear and they should have more of a sense of ownership and responsibility to carry.”
In tandem with the planned ”assessment” of The Line, job cuts are planned across NEOM as a whole, one consultant who works for the project told CNBC.
“They’re finally starting to make financially sound decisions,” the consultant, who asked to remain anonymous due to restrictions on speaking to the press, said.
Neom did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.
