Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania – marks the anticipated start of the 2026 NFL Draft, but projections are already solidifying following the conclusion of Super Bowl LX, where the Seattle Seahawks defeated the New England Patriots. ESPN draft analyst Field Yates has released his latest mock draft, offering a comprehensive look at how the first round could unfold, based on current team needs and league intelligence.
The Las Vegas Raiders are widely expected to select a quarterback with the first overall pick. Yates projects Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza as the ideal choice for the Raiders, particularly as they embark on a new era under head coach Klint Kubiak. Mendoza’s performance in 2025, characterized by “elite accuracy and exceptional arm talent,” positions him as a strong contender to revitalize the Raiders’ offense. Yates notes Mendoza possesses the “strength and mobility” to thrive under pressure and demonstrates a “quick processing ability” indicative of a future NFL starter.
The New York Jets, holding the second overall pick, are not expected to target a quarterback immediately, despite ongoing needs. Instead, Yates predicts they will address their defensive shortcomings by selecting Ohio State edge rusher Arvell Reese. The Jets finished near the bottom of the league in sacks in 2025, and Reese’s versatility and potential to disrupt opposing quarterbacks make him a logical fit. He transitioned to a primary edge role in 2025, recording 6.5 sacks and demonstrating a “quick first step and fluid athletic movements.”
At number three, the Arizona Cardinals are projected to bolster their offensive line with Miami tackle Francis Mauigoa. This selection aligns with a potential shift towards a run-heavy scheme under new head coach Mike LaFleur, mirroring the approach successfully implemented by the Los Angeles Rams in the previous season. Mauigoa’s “exceptional power and exceptional foot speed” for a player of his size (6’6”, 315 pounds) make him a valuable asset in establishing a strong running game.
The Tennessee Titans, picking at number four, are predicted to select Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey. While a wide receiver could address needs for new quarterback Cam Ward, Yates suggests Bailey would be a valuable addition to the Titans’ defense. Bailey led the FBS in sacks with 14.5 in his single season at Texas Tech, showcasing a “rapid first step” and a knack for disrupting passing plays.
A surprise pick at number five sees the New York Giants selecting Ohio State safety Caleb Downs. This deviates from expectations of the Giants addressing receiver or offensive tackle needs. Yates highlights the value placed on top-tier safeties by Giants’ head coach John Harbaugh, drawing parallels to his previous successes with Ed Reed and Kyle Hamilton in Baltimore. Downs’ “wide range and playmaking ability” could transform the Giants’ defense.
The Cleveland Browns, with the sixth and 24th overall picks, are projected to address their offensive line issues with Utah tackle Spencer Fano. Fano’s performance in 2025, allowing only two sacks and six pressures, demonstrates his potential to protect the quarterback. The Browns allowed the seventh-most sacks in the NFL in 2025, highlighting the need for improvement.
The Washington Commanders, at number seven, are expected to select Miami receiver Carnell Tate. This addition would provide a much-needed target opposite Terry McLaurin. Tate is described as a “ready-made professional” with exceptional route-running skills and reliable hands, averaging over 17 yards per reception in 2025.
The New Orleans Saints, picking at number eight, are projected to select Arizona State receiver Mansoor Delane. Delane’s exceptional hands and ability to create separation make him a potential game-changer for the Saints’ offense. He allowed a completion percentage of only 27.8% against him in coverage, the third-lowest in the FBS.
The Kansas City Chiefs, at number nine, are predicted to select Indiana running back David Bailey. Yates acknowledges this as a potentially bold move, but emphasizes Bailey’s game-changing potential. Bailey is described as an “explosive and instinctive runner” with the ability to contribute significantly in both the running and passing game.
The Cincinnati Bengals, at number ten, are projected to select Miami edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr. Addressing the need for a stronger pass rush, Bain’s “strength and quickness” make him a disruptive force. He was named the ACC Defensive Player of the Year in 2025, recording 20.5 sacks.
The Miami Dolphins, picking at number eleven, are expected to select LSU cornerback Mansoor Delane. With several defensive backs potentially leaving in free agency, Delane’s coverage skills and physical play style would be a valuable addition. He allowed a completion percentage of only 27.8% against him in coverage, the third-lowest in the FBS.
The Dallas Cowboys, holding the 12th and 20th picks, are projected to select Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles with the 12th pick. Styles’ versatility and ability to play multiple positions make him a valuable asset for the Cowboys’ defense. He demonstrated a strong ability to rush the passer and cover ground effectively.
The Los Angeles Rams, with the 13th and 29th picks, are predicted to select Tennessee cornerback Jermod McCoy with the 13th pick. McCoy’s potential is tempered by a recent ACL injury, but his talent and physical attributes make him a worthwhile risk for the Rams. He allowed only two sacks in his last season.
The Jets, again selecting at number 14, are projected to take a guard, Caleb Banks from Florida. The pick is intended to bolster the offensive line.
The Indianapolis Colts, at number 15, are projected to select Alabama tackle Kadyn Proctor. The pick is intended to bolster the offensive line.
The Seattle Seahawks, concluding the first round at number 32, are predicted to select Oregon tight end Kenyon Sadiq. Sadiq’s athleticism and receiving ability would add another dimension to the Seahawks’ offense.
Yates emphasizes that this mock draft is a snapshot in time, subject to change as the draft process unfolds with the combine and pro days still ahead. However, it provides a valuable insight into the potential direction of the 2026 NFL Draft and the priorities of each team.
