NYSE Sees Record-Breaking Weekly Surge: Will the Fed Deliver a Long-Awaited Rate Cut
New York Stock Market Sees Strongest Week of the Year Ahead of FOMC Meeting
The New York stock market had its strongest week of the year ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which is expected to likely result in a rate cut.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) closed at 41,393.78, up 297.01 points (0.72%) from the previous day. The S&P 500 index closed at 5,626.02, up 30.26 points (0.54%) from the previous day, and the Nasdaq Composite Index closed at 17,683.98, up 114.30 points (0.65%) from the previous day.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes surged 4.02% and 5.95%, respectively, after rebounding sharply from last week’s plunge. This is their highest weekly return since early November last year.
The assessment is that expectations of a rate cut supported the rally as there were no indicators or events that could move the market. The expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may make a big cut (cutting the benchmark interest rate by 0.50%p at once) at the September FOMC seems to have given the stock market momentum. When the benchmark interest rate is lowered, technology and blue-chip stocks enjoy windfall profits.
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch Tool, the federal funds futures market reflected a 51% chance that the September FOMC will cut the benchmark interest rate by 0.50%. It soared from around 15% the previous morning to over 50% in one day.
Expectations are rising after current and former Fed officials hinted at the possibility of a big cut through some media outlets, and former New York Federal Reserve Bank President William Dudley also supported a 50bp cut. Former New York Federal Reserve Bank President Dudley said at the Bretton Woods Forum in Singapore the previous day that “there is a strong case to be made for a 0.50 percentage point cut,” adding that “if I were you, I would know what I would pursue.”
