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This is what Conagua says about possible cyclones in December 2023

The tropical cyclone season in Mexico officially ended on November 30, but current weather conditions may lead to the formation of these phenomena in December, said Alejandra Margarita Méndez Girón, coordinator of the National Meteorological Service (SMN).

At a press conference, it was reported that In the 2023 season, 37 systems were developed that merited a name, and it was the fifth most active in the last 50 years. Likewise, the eight cyclones that impacted the territory were almost double the average in the last decade, which is calculated at 4.5.

In the Pacific, 17 cyclones were recorded, while in the Atlantic there were 20 meteors, including three hurricanes that exceeded category 3.

And although the greatest activity occurred in the Atlantic, the most significant was Otis, on the Pacific coast, which in less than ten hours went from a Category 1 hurricane to a Category 5, making it the fastest-intensifying hurricane since 1966.

“Otis is a watershed in the meteorological field, a before and after. Since then there has been greater monitoring. This cyclone has generated great expectations for scientists worldwide, decisions have been made to improve numerical forecast models,” he said. Mendez Giron.

About the possibility of cyclones out of season, The official mentioned the risks for the Atlantic coast due to warm sea temperatures:

“It is said that it may be feasible due to the high temperatures in the Atlantic that have not yet dropped, which is why it is considered that one may develop.”

The states of Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo have the highest probability of being affected by this anomaly.

Finally, Conagua warned of a colder winter due to the probable extension of the El Niño phenomenon, which can cause polar air masses, cold fronts and rain in the northern, northwestern and central states of the country.

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