Top MLB Home Run Props for April 28: Expert Picks by Matt Snyder

Major League Baseball betting experts have identified New York Mets infielder Bo Bichette as the top home run prop bet for Tuesday, April 28, 2026, as teams across the league prepare for a full slate of games. CBS Sports analyst Matt Snyder, in his latest player prop recommendations, highlighted Bichette’s power potential against a struggling pitching matchup, making him a standout choice for bettors looking for home run opportunities.

Bichette Leads Home Run Prop Picks

Bichette, who has emerged as a key offensive force for the Mets this season, is projected to face Detroit Tigers starter Casey Mize in Tuesday’s contest. Snyder’s analysis points to Mize’s recent struggles as a favorable backdrop for Bichette’s power stroke. While specific statistical breakdowns from the primary sources are limited, the matchup’s dynamics—combined with Bichette’s consistent production—have positioned him as the premier home run prop of the day.

The Mets’ lineup, which has relied heavily on Bichette’s bat in the middle of the order, could see additional opportunities against Mize, who has faced challenges in limiting hard contact this season. Though exact pitch-type data and opponent splits are not detailed in the primary sources, the broader context of Mize’s performance suggests vulnerability that Bichette and his teammates may exploit.

Additional Home Run Props to Watch

Beyond Bichette, Snyder’s recommendations include several other high-profile sluggers with favorable matchups on Tuesday’s schedule. Houston Astros outfielder Yordan Alvarez and Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson are among the players drawing attention from bettors, though the primary sources do not provide specific odds or detailed reasoning for their inclusion.

Alvarez, a perennial All-Star, is set to face Baltimore Orioles right-hander Shane Baz, who has endured a rough stretch in recent outings. The Astros’ lineup, known for its power-hitting prowess, could present multiple opportunities for home runs, with Alvarez often serving as the focal point of opposing game plans. Olson, meanwhile, will take on the San Diego Padres in a matchup that could feature favorable conditions for left-handed power hitters.

Other notable home run props include players from the Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers, Miami Marlins, and Cleveland Guardians, though the primary sources do not specify which individuals are being targeted. The broader trend suggests a focus on teams with strong offensive lineups facing pitchers who have shown susceptibility to the long ball in recent weeks.

Pitching Props and Strikeout Bets

While home run props dominate the betting conversation for Tuesday’s games, pitching props also present compelling opportunities. One of the most discussed bets involves Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Chase Burns, who is projected to exceed 6.5 strikeouts in his outing against the Colorado Rockies. Burns, known for his high-velocity fastball and devastating slider, has demonstrated an ability to miss bats consistently this season.

According to data referenced in the primary sources, Burns ranks in the upper percentiles of the league in both whiff percentage and strikeout rate. His slider, in particular, has been a putaway pitch, generating swings and misses at an elite clip. The Rockies, who have struggled against right-handed pitching, present a favorable matchup for Burns to accumulate strikeouts, making the over on his strikeout total a popular choice among bettors.

In contrast, Orioles starter Shane Baz is projected to fall short of 4.0 strikeouts in his outing against the Astros. Baz’s recent performances have been marred by high pitch counts and difficulty putting hitters away, raising concerns about his ability to work deep into games. The Astros’ lineup, which ranks among the most disciplined in the league, could further limit Baz’s strikeout potential, making the under on his strikeout prop an attractive option.

Key Matchups and Betting Trends

Tuesday’s MLB slate features several high-profile matchups that could influence betting markets. The Astros’ visit to Baltimore stands out as one of the most compelling games of the day, with both teams boasting lineups capable of explosive offensive production. The Astros, in particular, have thrived against right-handed pitching this season, a trend that could work in their favor against Baz.

The Mets’ game against the Tigers also carries significant betting interest, not only for Bichette’s home run prop but also for the broader implications of the matchup. Detroit’s pitching staff has struggled to contain opposing lineups, and the Mets’ offense, led by Bichette and outfielder Juan Soto, could capitalize on those weaknesses.

In the National League, the Braves’ clash with the Padres and the Dodgers’ tilt against the Marlins offer additional opportunities for bettors. Olson’s home run prop is likely to draw attention in the Braves-Padres game, while the Dodgers’ lineup, which features several power threats, could present multiple home run opportunities against Miami’s pitching staff.

What’s Next for Bettors and Fans

As Tuesday’s games approach, bettors will continue to monitor late lineup changes, pitching adjustments, and weather conditions that could impact prop bets. Home run props, in particular, are sensitive to such variables, as a single lineup shift or pitching change can alter the dynamics of a matchup. Fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see if Bichette and other top props deliver on their projected performances.

For those tracking pitching props, Burns’ outing against the Rockies will be a key storyline, as his ability to generate strikeouts could set the tone for the Rays’ series. Similarly, Baz’s performance against the Astros will be scrutinized, as it could provide insight into his progress—or lack thereof—as he works to regain his form.

With a full slate of games on tap, Tuesday, April 28, 2026, promises to be an active day for MLB betting markets. Whether focusing on home run props, strikeout totals, or broader game outcomes, bettors have ample opportunities to engage with the action as the season unfolds.