WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump on dismissed reports that his top military advisor, General Dan Caine, had cautioned against a large-scale military operation against Iran, asserting that the United States would achieve an “easy” victory in any conflict with Tehran. The exchange highlights a growing tension between publicly projected confidence and privately expressed concerns within the administration regarding the potential consequences of military action.
Reports in US media indicated that General Caine, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, had warned of significant risks associated with strikes against Iran, including the possibility of prolonged entanglement. Trump, however, vehemently denied these accounts in a post on his Truth Social network, stating it was “100 per cent incorrect” that Caine opposed military action. He claimed Caine believed a military engagement with Iran would be “something easily won.”
“He has not spoken of not doing Iran, or even the fake limited strikes that I have been reading about,” Trump wrote, adding that Caine’s sole focus was “how to WIN and, if he is told to do so, he will be leading the pack.” This statement directly contradicts reporting from The Washington Post and other outlets, which detailed Caine’s concerns about logistical and strategic challenges.
According to sources familiar with internal discussions, General Caine has expressed concern that US munitions stockpiles have been depleted due to ongoing support for Israel and Ukraine. This shortfall, coupled with a perceived lack of robust allied support, could significantly increase the risks to US personnel in any major operation against Iran. The Washington Post reported that the meeting where these concerns were raised included Vice-President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth and White House advisor Stephen Miller.
Further reports from the Axios news outlet suggest that both General Caine and other Pentagon officials have warned of potential US and allied casualties, as well as the danger of depleting US air defenses if forces were to strike Iran. Axios also reported Caine cautioned against the United States “becoming entangled in a prolonged conflict.”
The administration’s internal debate is further complicated by efforts from within to pursue a diplomatic resolution. Axios reported that Trump’s negotiator, Steve Witkoff, and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, have been urging the president to delay any military action and prioritize diplomatic engagement. Trump, however, accused media outlets of “writing incorrectly, and purposefully so,” reiterating his position that he alone makes the final decision.
“I am the one that makes the decision,” Trump stated. “I would rather have a Deal than not but, if we don’t make a Deal, it will be a very bad day for that Country and, very sadly, its people.”
Trump, who reportedly authorized strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities last year, has repeatedly threatened further military action if ongoing negotiations to revive a nuclear agreement – which he unilaterally withdrew the US from during his first term – fail to yield a satisfactory outcome. The negotiations are scheduled to continue, with the next round set for , according to a US official.
The United States has significantly increased its military presence in the Middle East in recent months, deploying two aircraft carrier strike groups, along with numerous other ships, warplanes, and assets to the region. This build-up is widely seen as a signal of resolve, but also raises the risk of miscalculation and escalation. The deployment includes the USS Gerald R. Ford, a massive military force intended to deter Iranian aggression and protect US interests in the region.
The conflicting narratives emanating from the White House – Trump’s insistence on an easy victory versus the Pentagon’s warnings of significant risks – underscore the complexity of the situation. The potential for a miscalculation, particularly given the volatile regional dynamics and the ongoing proxy conflicts, remains a significant concern for international observers. The outcome of the current diplomatic efforts will be crucial in determining whether the situation escalates towards a military confrontation.
The situation is further complicated by the depletion of munitions stockpiles, a concern raised by General Caine, stemming from the ongoing support provided to both Israel and Ukraine. This logistical challenge adds another layer of complexity to any potential military operation, potentially limiting the scope and duration of any US intervention.
