Turkey on High Alert: Will Israel’s Next Move Spark a Regional Crisis
- The author considers that "Israel's triangle - Western - Gulf states, to pressure Hezbollah, is unrealistic, because Lebanon and not Gaza, which, despite its small size, did not...
Erdogan’s calls with Mikati and Fidan with Bohabib reflected Turkey’s interest in Lebanon
The author considers that “Israel’s triangle – Western – Gulf states, to pressure Hezbollah, is unrealistic, because Lebanon and not Gaza, which, despite its small size, did not surrender.” He believed that “a continuation of the conflict is not in Israel’s interest, and this was recognized by US National Security Council spokesman John Kirby.” Tashtkin concludes by saying that “Israel, for all its brutality, has not succeeded in defeating Hezbollah. It is also unable to defend its borders due to lack of strategic depth. It will try to end the threat to Lebanon without entering Lebanon. “It cannot enter into a large-scale war without the support of the United States.” He concluded, “No one denies Israel’s ability to destroy, but no one questions the price Israel will pay, which it realizes, by its own standards, will not achieve the results it wants.”
For his part, the well-known analyst, Murat Yatkin, wrote that “the number of human casualties in the Israeli attack on Lebanon is not important, because they change every hour, but the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu acts. Full confidence that if he uses even a nuclear bomb, any American president Don’t tell him no. But there’s no guarantee he’ll stop firing after November 5. Donald Trump, as well as Kamala Harris, is running to support Israel.” Yetkin considered the position of the international “quintet” of the United States, Britain, France, Germany and Italy to be “insensitive” to Lebanon, saying that “the foreign ministers of the five countries met in New York and their response was: Shame on Lebanon, but Hezbollah, which is supported by Iran.
He noted that the position of these countries is characterized by duality. Israel is not only hitting Hezbollah, but also forcing thousands of residents to relocate to North Beirut, which is also unsafe. He considered that “Lebanon has two options: either to become a country that deepens the defense of Israel’s strategic interests, or to pay the bill for the people’s attachment to Hezbollah through destruction and occupation,” adding that “if Israel is not stopped. Lebanon , the Lebanese fire is likely to spread to the region and its main Syria. Turkey and Egypt have been warning about this for months.”
