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- KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — A recent survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) reveals nuanced and sometimes contradictory opinions among Ukrainians regarding a potential cease-fire...
- While a notable majority, 77%, of Ukrainian residents in government-controlled areas support the idea of a cease-fire, the reasons behind this support are varied.
- Notably, 47% of respondents believe a cease-fire proposal is "a way to show that Russia does not want peace or that Russia always violates agreements," echoing sentiments expressed...
Ukrainian Poll Reveals Complex Views on Cease-Fire, Territorial Concessions
Table of Contents
- Ukrainian Poll Reveals Complex Views on Cease-Fire, Territorial Concessions
- Ukrainian Public opinion: Views on Ceasefires, Territorial Concessions, and Peace wiht Russia
- What are Ukrainians’ general views on a ceasefire with Russia?
- What factors drive ukrainian support for a ceasefire?
- Does support for a ceasefire vary across different regions of Ukraine?
- Do Ukrainians support any restrictions during a ceasefire?
- what conditions woudl Ukrainians accept for a truce?
- How have Ukrainian views on territorial concessions evolved?
- What concessions would Ukrainians be willing to make, and under what conditions?
- Would Ukrainians accept Russian control over their entire country?
- Summary of key Findings
- What does this survey tell us about Ukrainian views on peace?
KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — A recent survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) reveals nuanced and sometimes contradictory opinions among Ukrainians regarding a potential cease-fire and possible conditions for peace with Russia.
Cease-Fire Support mixed with Skepticism
While a notable majority, 77%, of Ukrainian residents in government-controlled areas support the idea of a cease-fire, the reasons behind this support are varied. The survey, conducted against a backdrop of reported attempts at negotiation in March, indicates that many Ukrainians view a cease-fire not necessarily as a path to peace, but as a way to expose Russia’s unwillingness to negotiate.
Notably, 47% of respondents believe a cease-fire proposal is “a way to show that Russia does not want peace or that Russia always violates agreements,” echoing sentiments expressed by Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Support for a cease-fire is higher in western regions of Ukraine (85%) compared to eastern regions (72%). However, a smaller percentage, 8%, consider a cease-fire “a wrong step that will weaken Ukraine,” while 7% view it as “a step of despair because of the difficult situation on the front.”
Rejection of Restrictions during Cease-Fire
The survey also explored Ukrainian attitudes toward potential conditions for a cease-fire, specifically regarding the cessation of mobilization efforts and Western arms supplies.A large majority, 79%, consider such restrictions “unacceptable,” with only 16% willing to agree to them. Opposition to these restrictions is stronger further away from the fighting, with support dropping to 64% in eastern regions.
Conditions for Accepting a Truce
The KIIS poll further investigated conditions under which Ukrainians would accept a truce, particularly if Russia maintains control of what it considers “occupied territories.” Approximately half of Ukrainians would agree to peace if “Western peacekeepers” were deployed in Ukraine (53%), if the country joined NATO (48%), or if Western arms supplies continued.
Though, 62% strongly disagree with a peace agreement that excludes Western peacekeepers, NATO membership, and continued arms supplies.
Views on Territorial Concessions evolving
Another KIIS study, conducted in late Febuary and early March, examined Ukrainians’ willingness to make territorial concessions to achieve peace with Russia. While half of the population (50%) believes that “never should Ukraine give up any of its territories,” this figure has decreased over time. In February 2024, 65% held this view, and in February 2023, it was 87%.
Conversely, the percentage of Ukrainians willing to consider territorial concessions has grown. Two years ago, only 9% agreed to such concessions, a year ago it was 26%, and now it stands at 39%.
The survey also indicates that the level of support for territorial concessions depends on Russia’s potential demands. If Russia makes “no claims to other territories” beyond those already under its control, 78% of Ukrainians are willing to make concessions. Even if Moscow insists on transferring parts of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), Luhansk People’s republic (LPR), Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions under Russian control, 68% of Ukrainian citizens are open to it.
Willingness to Accept Russian Control
In a more extreme scenario, if Russia “takes all or most of the territory of Ukraine and establishes a pro-Russian government,” nearly half (49%) of Ukrainian citizens are prepared to accept this outcome. Moreover, one-third (34%) support the complete destruction of Ukrainian statehood under these conditions.
The KIIS survey highlights the complex and evolving attitudes of Ukrainians toward the conflict with Russia, revealing a desire for peace tempered by skepticism and concerns about territorial integrity and sovereignty.
Ukrainian Public opinion: Views on Ceasefires, Territorial Concessions, and Peace wiht Russia
This article explores the complex and evolving attitudes of Ukrainians regarding the ongoing conflict with Russia, based on a recent survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS). We’ll delve into their views on ceasefires, territorial concessions, and potential conditions for peace.
What are Ukrainians’ general views on a ceasefire with Russia?
A notable majority of Ukrainians in government-controlled areas support the idea of a ceasefire. According to the KIIS survey, 77% of respondents favor a ceasefire.
What factors drive ukrainian support for a ceasefire?
The reasons behind the support for a ceasefire are varied.The survey indicates that many Ukrainians view a ceasefire not necessarily as a path to peace, but as a way to expose Russia’s unwillingness to negotiate.
47% of respondents see a ceasefire as a way to show that Russia doesn’t want peace or is highly likely to violate agreements.
Does support for a ceasefire vary across different regions of Ukraine?
Yes, there are regional differences in support for a ceasefire.
Support is higher in western regions (85%) of Ukraine
Support is lower in eastern regions (72%).
Do Ukrainians support any restrictions during a ceasefire?
A large majority of Ukrainians reject restrictions during a ceasefire.
79% consider restrictions on mobilization efforts and Western arms supplies “unacceptable.”
Onyl 16% are willing to agree to these restrictions.
what conditions woudl Ukrainians accept for a truce?
The KIIS poll investigated conditions under which Ukrainians would accept a truce, especially if Russia maintains control of the territories it considers occupied.
53% would agree to peace if “Western peacekeepers” were deployed in Ukraine.
48% would agree if Ukraine joined NATO.
If Western arms supplies were continued.
Interestingly, 62% strongly disagree with a peace agreement that excludes Western peacekeepers, NATO membership, and the continuation of arms supplies.
How have Ukrainian views on territorial concessions evolved?
Ukrainian views on territorial concessions have shifted over time.
50% believe that Ukraine should “never give up any of its territories.”
This figure was 65% in February 2024, and 87% in February 2023.
The percentage willing to consider territorial concessions has increased.
39% are now open to considering concessions.
This was 26% a year ago, and only 9% two years ago.
What concessions would Ukrainians be willing to make, and under what conditions?
The willingness to make concessions depends on Russia’s potential demands.
if Russia makes “no claims to other territories” beyond those already under its control, 78% of Ukrainians are willing to make concessions.
Even if Moscow insists on controlling parts of the donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), luhansk People’s Republic (LPR), Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions, 68% of Ukrainians are open to concessions.
Would Ukrainians accept Russian control over their entire country?
In an extreme scenario, nearly half of Ukrainians are prepared to accept Russian control.
If Russia “takes all or moast of the territory of Ukraine and establishes a pro-Russian government,” 49% of Ukrainian citizens are prepared to accept this outcome.
* 34% would support the complete destruction of Ukrainian statehood under these conditions.
Summary of key Findings
| Finding | Percentage (approx.) |
| —————————————————————————– | ——————– |
| Support for Ceasefire | 77% |
| Support for Ceasefire as a Way to Expose Russia’s Intentions | 47% |
| Rejection of Restrictions during Ceasefire | 79% |
| Willingness to Consider Territorial Concessions (current) | 39% |
| Willingness to Make Concessions if Russia Claims No Further territory | 78% |
| prepared to Accept Russian Control if Russia takes over the entire country | 49% |
What does this survey tell us about Ukrainian views on peace?
The KIIS survey highlights the nuanced and evolving attitudes of Ukrainians. While there’s a strong desire for peace,its tempered by skepticism and concerns about territorial integrity and sovereignty. These views are also influenced by regional differences and the perceived intentions of Russia.
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