Global ​Job⁣ Market ⁤Fragility Tied to U.S.Consumerism, Slowing GDP Growth

Updated ‍june⁢ 6, 2025

Teh Asia-Pacific​ region ‍shows strong employment and GDP growth, ​but a ‍new report suggests ⁤the global⁤ job market is increasingly ​fragile and tied to U.S. consumerism. ⁢The International Labour Organization (ILO) released its World Employment and Social Outlook for May 2025, revealing lowered projections for global job growth.

Global GDP growth projections have fallen from​ 3.2% to 2.8%, correlating with a decrease in employment growth from 1.7% to 1.5%, representing 7 million fewer jobs. Trade disruptions linked to high tariffs and a reliance on a single​ country’s consumerism appear to be the primary drivers.

The report also notes a decline in the labor income share, from 53% in 2014 to 52.4% in 2024, indicating a global decrease in⁣ purchasing power. Simultaneously, employment is shifting toward ⁤higher-skill occupations ⁢in high- and ‌middle-income countries. The report indicates that nearly one in four workers ‌face ‌some level of exposure to automation through generative ‍AI.

People in want of a job but do ‌not have one
An estimated 407 ‌million people are in​ want of a‍ job⁣ but do not‍ have one, leading to more people taking positions they may be overqualified for due to the lack​ of options. Credit: Unsplash/Alex Kotliarskyi

Uncertainty is a major factor slowing job ‍growth.⁢ Despite⁤ expanding global ‍markets and easing inflation, employers are‌ cautious about hiring. Geopolitical disturbances ‌and systemic transitions have altered the job landscape, ​creating unforeseen challenges for businesses.

Inflation is projected to ‌fall to 4.4% ‍in 2025, down ‍from 5.8% in 2024, potentially due to a contraction in global economic expansion. U.S. tariffs in April have significantly shifted global trading landscapes, leading to a synchronized slowdown across regions.

An estimated ⁢407 million people worldwide want a job but cannot find one, forcing many to accept lower-quality or⁤ more​ vulnerable⁣ positions. The Asia-Pacific region, despite⁢ projecting a growth of 3.8%, remains‍ vulnerable due to its ⁣reliance on U.S. import demand.

From 2014 ⁣to 2024, global ⁣GDP grew by ​33.5%, with the Asia-Pacific region‍ experiencing a 55% increase. The ILO​ report⁤ attributes​ economic ‌growth in Asia-Pacific ⁤to productivity improvements rather than job creation,contrasting with Africa and ‌Arab ‍states,where economic growth was ‌accompanied ​by increased employment⁤ opportunities.

Informal ​employment, representing‌ 57.8% of all workers globally, remains slightly above formal employment. Labor income ‍shares are declining in ​Africa, the Americas, Europe, and ⁤Central Asia, but increasing in⁣ Asia and the Pacific, along with Arab states, reflecting‍ regional differences in technological and market structures.

Global employment shares per country

Globally, over half of workers⁣ are mismatched to their jobs, being either undereducated or overeducated, with‌ the largest deficit⁤ in low-income countries. However, rising⁢ education levels are contributing to a greater share ‌of appropriately qualified workers.

“The findings ​of this report on the employment landscape are sobering,but ‌they can also act ⁢as a roadmap for the creation of decent jobs,” said ILO Director-General Gilbert Houngbo. “We can make‍ a difference,‌ and we can do so by strengthening social protection,⁤ investing ⁤in skills development,⁣ promoting social dialog, and ⁢building inclusive labor markets to ensure that⁢ technological change benefits all. And we must do ⁢so with ⁤urgency, ambition, and⁢ solidarity.”

What’s next

The ILO emphasizes the need for inclusivity ⁤and addressing each⁣ region’s specific needs and economic focus to expand ‍the global economy.