Zack Wheeler vs. Paul Skenes: 2025 NL Cy Young Favorite
Wheeler and Skenes: A Tight Race for the NL Cy Young Award
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As the MLB season heats up, the National League Cy Young race is shaping up to be a thrilling contest between two dominant pitchers: Zack Wheeler of the Philadelphia Phillies and Paul Skenes of the Pittsburgh Pirates. With both pitchers showcasing remarkable talent and consistency, the competition for this prestigious award is far from decided.
Zack Wheeler’s Resurgence and Cy Young Aspirations
Zack Wheeler, a seasoned veteran now in his 11th MLB season, has consistently been in the conversation for the Cy Young award. At 35 years old, he’s demonstrating that age is just a number, delivering a stellar performance for the division-leading Phillies. His career has been marked by near misses for this coveted hardware, including a second-place finish in the Cy Young voting in both 2021 and 2024, where he narrowly lost to Corbin Burnes and Chris Sale, respectively.
Wheeler’s impressive track record also includes a sixth-place finish in the 2023 race and a 12th-place showing in 2020, his inaugural season with the Phillies. This year, he’s been nothing short of impressive.
Wheeler’s Dominant 2024 campaign
In 19 starts this season, Wheeler boasts an outstanding 9-3 record with a 2.36 ERA. He leads the National league in strikeouts with a remarkable 154, while issuing only 26 walks across 122 innings of work. His advanced metrics are equally impressive, with Baseball Reference crediting him with a league-leading 4.8 WAR (Wins Above Replacement). This all-around dominance makes him a formidable contender for the cy Young award.
Paul Skenes: The Rookie Phenom Making Waves
On the other side of the pitching spectrum is Paul Skenes, the Pirates’ rookie sensation. Skenes has quickly established himself as a force to be reckoned with, posting an MLB-best 2.01 ERA in 20 starts. He has recorded 131 strikeouts against just 30 walks in 121 innings pitched.
Skenes’ Meteoric Rise
Skenes’ impact as a rookie has been nothing short of exceptional. Last year, he finished third in the NL cy Young race, a testament to his immediate success. He began the current season as a +400 favorite in the market and maintained his front-runner status until the All-Star break. His current odds stand at +100, reflecting a 50% implied probability of winning the award.
The Betting Landscape: A Two-Horse Race
The betting world at BetMGM sees this as a clear two-player race. While Wheeler has attracted the most individual bets at 13.1%, Skenes leads in total betting handle at 26.8%.This indicates that bettors are placing notable wagers on both pitchers, underscoring their perceived chances of winning the award.With over two months remaining in the regular season, the NL Cy Young race is far from over. The competition between Wheeler and Skenes promises to be one of the most compelling storylines of the season. No other pitcher is currently better than 22/1 to win the award in mid-July, highlighting the clear separation between these two elite talents and the rest of the field.
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