Chronic Disease Progress Slowing: Why Global Gains Are Stalling

Here’s a breakdown of the key information from⁤ the provided text, organized for ⁤clarity:

main Topic: Changes‍ in Non-Communicable Disease ⁣(NCD) Mortality (2010-2019)

Source: A study published in The Lancet analyzing data from 185 ⁣countries.

Key Findings ⁤(2010-2019):

* Overall decline: ⁣ The probability of dying from an NCD before age 80 decreased in the majority of countries:
‍ * 152 of 185 countries (82%) for females
‍ * 147‍ of ⁣185 countries (79%) for males
*⁢ ⁢ Regional ⁢variations:

* All high-income ⁣Western countries showed declines.
* Denmark led in ‍declines for ⁤both sexes.
‍ * The USA had the smallest‍ drop among⁤ high-income Western countries.
* China, Egypt, Nigeria, Russia, ⁢and Brazil experienced declines.
* ⁣ India and Papua New⁢ Guinea saw increases.
* Statistically Meaningful Decreases: ⁢Observed in 29% of countries for females.

Background & Context:

* NCDs Include: Cancers, heart disease/stroke, diabetes, lung/kidney/neurological/mental disorders.
* Impact: NCDs cause a ‍significant number of deaths globally (42 million of ⁣57 ⁢million in 2019), with a ⁢large proportion occurring before age 80.
* Global Efforts: Governments have made commitments through the UN and⁣ SDGs, but progress is uneven.
*‍ ⁢ importance of⁣ Research: Need to‍ understand which diseases and age groups are driving trends.

Study ⁣Methodology:

* Data Source: world Health Organization (WHO) Global Health Estimates‍ 2021.
* Countries Grouped: 185 countries grouped into 8 regions.
* ⁢ Primary Outcome: Probability of dying from an NCD between‍ birth and age 80.
* Analysis:

⁤ ⁣ ‍* Compared changes between⁣ 2010-2019 and 2001-2010.
* Cause-specific analysis done for 63 countries.
* Sex-specific analysis.
* ⁢ Benchmarked countries⁣ against the best-performing in their region.
* Exclusions: 2020-2021 data excluded due to COVID-19’s impact.
* ⁣ Limitations: Data quality issues in low- and middle-income countries increase uncertainty.