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Doctor Manu warns! In 100 days, the number of real covid infections in Thailand may reach 35 million people, 30,000 more deaths.

“Doctor Manoon” warns that the next 100 days will be 100 dangerous days! Thailand may have the number of real coviral infections to 35 million, and there may be an additional 30 thousand deaths.

Today (12 Aug.) Dr. Manoon Leechawengwong head of the ICU Specialized in respiratory diseases severely ill and elderly Wichaiyut Hospital Post a message through a Facebook page. Dr. Manoon Leechawengwong fc Expressing concern about the situation of the Covid-19 epidemic in Thailand with the following content:

“The next 100 days will be 100 dangerous days, the number of people infected and dying from the COVID-19 virus. Delta species in Thailand will continue to increase

No matter how intense we have lockdown measures Staying at home can’t stop the infection. The home is the most important source of outbreaks (see photo), so some lockdown measures should be eased. before the economy gets any more damage In the next 100 days, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 In fact, Thailand may increase to 35 million people, meaning half the country will be infected. and there will be an additional 30,000 Thai people dying

Thai people injectVaccines against COVID-19 The first dose is 16 million people. Still missing 40-45 million people. The only way to reduce the number of critically ill patients go to bed. Hospital and reduce the number of deaths is vaccination and must speed up injections within the next 100 days, not waiting until the end of this year or early next year. by carpeting the AstraZeneca vaccination for 40-45 million Thai people, injecting 500,000 a day by giving everyone the first dose first. When more vaccines are available, give the 2nd dose later.

According to AstraZeneca’s corporate communications department,AstraZeneca Vaccine 1 dose is highly effective in reducing serious illness to the point of entry. hospital and died Based on data from vaccinations in Canada, one dose of the vaccine prevents 87% of deaths caused by Delta strains and 90% of alpha strains (see figure).

The major problem we are facing right now is a severe shortage of vaccines. I wrote on FB on July 2 this year, asking the Thai government to negotiate with AstraZeneca to deliver pre-ordered vaccines to Thailand faster. But it was not successful because Thailand pre-ordered vaccines less and slower than other countries. i agree with Prof. Dr. Prasert Euawarakul, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University proposed to the Prime Minister to exercise his powers Vaccine Security Act Temporarily suspend the export of vaccines produced at Siam Bioscience to other countries.

Currently, Siam Bioscience Co., Ltd. has a production capacity of approximately 10-15 million doses of vaccine per month. Export ban Make Thailand have 30-45 million doses of vaccine in the next 3 months. if you can We have the opportunity to reduce the loss. It reduced the number of hospital stays and the number of deaths by more than 80 percent, but vaccination did not reduce the number of infections.

This would have a temporary impact on other countries in the region to temporarily reduce the availability of vaccines from AstraZeneca. But we need to I believe other countries will do the same as us. If faced with the COVID-19 situation as bad as we are now from a delta species.”

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