Ⓒ JoongAng Ilbo / JoongAng Ilbo Japanese version2022.01.17 11:42
Opinion polls show that the People Party’s presidential candidate Yoon Seok-you has regained approval ratings in the 40% range, and both have overtaken Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung to take first place. ..
On the 17th, at the request of OhmyNews, Realmeter surveyed 3031 men and women over the age of 18 nationwide from the 9th to the 14th, and as a result, the approval rating of candidate Yoon increased by 6.5 percentage points from the past survey. It was 40.6%.
On the other hand, Lee was 36.7%, down 3.4 percentage points from past surveys. The gap between the two candidates is 3.9 percentage points, which exceeds the error range (± 1.8 percentage points to the 95% confidence level). Candidate Ahn Cheol-soo of the People Party is 12.9%, up 1.8 percentage points from the past survey, and the approval rating is double-digit, and candidate Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party Was 2%, down 0.8 percentage points.
Although the approval rating of Mr. Yoon increased in most of the levels of the realmeter, the driving force behind the sharp rise in the approval rating was analyzed by the ideological conservatives and men in their twenties. In addition, news such as the death of the person who settled the dispute within the People Power Party Election Countermeasures Committee and provided information on Lee’s “suspicion of paying lawyer fees” seems to have affected the approval ratings of both candidates. explained.
On the other hand, in the winning possibility survey, Lee was down 6.6 percentage points from the previous survey to 46.2%, and Yoon was up 7 percentage points to 41.9%. The difference between the two was 4.3 percentage points, which was narrower than the previous survey of 17.9 percentage points. Candidate Ahn rose 1.2 percentage points to 5.7%, and Candidate Sink rose 0.1 percentage points to 1.1%.
As a result of conducting an investigation assuming a confrontation between the two candidates through the unification of conservative and opposition candidates, it became clear that no matter which of Yoon Seok-you and Ahn Cheol-soo is unified, Lee Jae-myung will win beyond the margin of error. ..
When Yoon Seok-you was unified, Yoon candidate 45.2% and Lee candidate 37%, and the gap between the two candidates was 8.2 percentage points. When Ahn Cheol-soo was unified, Ahn was 42.2% and Lee was 34.3%.
The party approval rating is 39% for the people (+ 4.4 percentage points compared to the past survey), 31.3% (-2.3 percentage points) for the Democratic Party, 9.3% (+ 0.6 percentage points) for the People Party, and The order was 4.8% (-0.4% points) for the Open Democratic Party and 3.4% (same) for the Justice Party.
This survey was conducted by wireless telephone interview (20%), wireless (75%) and wired (5%) automatic answer mixed method, and the response rate was 7.6%. Details can be found on the Realmeter and the website of the Central Election Polling Committee.
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