By..Nattha Mahattana, Assistant Managing Director of CFA
Investment Strategy and Client Relations Department, Krung Thai Asset Management Co., Ltd.
Great Strategist #Sai Arth Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson warned amid the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) panic last month that investors should “sell stocks” if the market rebounds after the US intervention. until the index finds a new low
“We suggest selling any rebounds on government intervention to calm the immediate liquidity crisis in SVB and other institutions until we make new lows in the market, at least”
The great can break the curve too. March 13, the day Wilson presented the report, marked the lowest point of the cycle. After that, the S&P 500 rose more than 250 points +6.6%, closing the month above 4,100.
Michael Burry Phaya Bear at the forefront of the industry came out to “give up” by tweeting the message “I was wrong to say sell.” Referring to the old tweet from January 31, he types a short word, just “sell “. he stated the reason for the failure was partly because he analyzed the past as far back as the 1920s, when a new generation of #BTFD (Buy The F*ck Dip) traders still did not dominate the market today.
Since the presentation of this theory on 4 December 2022, one of the daily duties of KTAM strategists is to Interpret new information to assess the situation so that “Where is the market?”
Secret/Deceptive/Hidden Factor coming together all the way But we use reason to overcome emotions, which are often sensitive to the news.
“The US economy is in recession.” Most of the voices are concerned and place the cards high. It can be interpreted that the market is at the “first stage” He should invest in accordance with the guidelines that have been written.
“Hearty, risky assets, pick ‘winners’, aim for maximum profit. By focusing on funds that benefit from the increase in commodity (commodity) prices, which is a spot market, which is interested in demand-supply at the moment rather than long-term prospects like stocks in general. We also like two other markets whose prices are well below their potential as they are a bit post-crisis: China and Vietnam. “
The first ladder is long, which means “repurchase.” Because the conclusion of the inflation war is “the Fed loses”
Inflation beats Fed Because of what? described in KTAM Focus 19 February 2023
Investors should rely on Everything Rally to “adjust portfolios”. Reduce deflation assets (low inflation assets) to widen the gap for inflation assets (assets that should earn high inflation in the long term) led by “commodities” to the portfolio.
Go ahead and buy 4 funds under the theme MCCVGA = Making Commodities, China and Vietnam Great Again, namely KT-ENERGY, KT-MINING, KT-CHINA and KT-VIETNAM.
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