[글로벌시장 지표 / 12월 27일 오전 6시 현재]
[미국시장 금주 체크포인트]
This week (26th-30th), the New York stock market is expected to show a sluggish appearance due to a decrease in trading volume.
The New York Stock Exchange will be closed on the 26th (local time) for the Christmas holiday. As a result, many traders do not trade on holidays, so trading volume is expected to be lower than ever.
All three major indexes rose slightly on the 23rd (local time), the last trading day of last week, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showed weakness for three consecutive weeks, greatly reducing expectations of a Santa Claus Rally. In particular, while the Dow index fell 4% in December, the Nasdaq index fell more than 8%, and the decline in technology stocks was relatively large. This suggests that the market is moving to defensive stocks due to the risk of rising interest rates and the risk of recession following an economic slowdown.
Some advised that if the Santa Claus Rally does not come this week, we should be prepared for the current atmosphere to continue until the beginning of next year. This is because the Santa Claus Rally is also used as a technical factor to predict stock price returns in the following year. According to CFRA research analysis, when the Santa Claus Rally came at the end of the year, the following year’s stock returns were higher than usual. The year after the Santa Claus rally, the S&P 500 index rose an average of 4.1%, but during the Santa Claus rally, stock prices rose an average of 10.9%.
This week, housing indicators such as home prices and proposed home sales compiled by S&P/Case-Shiller, weekly unemployment insurance claims and the Federal Reserve Bank’s regional manufacturing index come out. The housing market is expected to be slow as it is the most sensitive to the Fed’s interest rate policy. Regional manufacturing indices suggest that the economy has recently contracted in many regions, and the weekly unemployment index, despite the increase, remains below historical averages.
However, these indicators appear to have limitations in determining market direction. After all, we will have to wait for the December employment report, which is published in early January, for hints on Fed monetary policy.
[금주 주요 일정]
△ 26 days
Financial markets closed due to ‘Christmas break’
△ 27 days
October Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Home Price Index.
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index October
December Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Manufacturing Index
△ 28 days
December Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Manufacturing Index
November Pending Home Sale
△ 29 days
New Unemployment Insurance Claims Weekly
Energy Information Administration (EIA) Weekly Crude Oil Lists.
△ 30 days
December Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (Fed) PMI
[뉴욕증시 마감시황]
The New York stock market rose on the 23rd (local time).
On the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on this day, the Dow finished trading at 33,203.93, up 176.44 points (0.53%) from the battlefield. The S&P 500 index closed at 3,844.82, up 22.43 points (0.59%) from the battleground, and the Nasdaq index closed at 10,497.86, up 21.74 points (0.21%).
[유럽증시 마감시황]
Stock markets rose in major European countries on the 23rd (local time) with the exception of the French stock market.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed at 427.45, up 0.19 points (0.04%) from the previous trading day, and the DAX index on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany rose 26.86 points (0.19%) to 13,940.93. The CAC40 index of the Paris stock market in France fell 13.07 points (0.20%) to 6504.90, and the FTSE100 index of the London stock market jumped 3.73 points (0.05%) to 7473.01.
[중국증시 마감시황]
The Chinese stock market rose on the 26th (local time).
At the end of the day, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.65% to 3065.56, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.19% to 10978.99, and the Start Board Index rose 1.98% to close at 2331.41.
It is analyzed that in today’s A-share market, a strong low price buying tendency has been formed, focusing on industries that fell too much, and became a driving force for the increase. In particular, last week’s correction continued and valuations in many sectors fell sharply, which further increased the inflow of bargain buying.
In addition, it is analyzed that expectations for a recovery in the use of residents have been reflected in the stock market as a recovery in the service industry has emerged in some regions that exceeds market expectations.
On the other hand, looking at today’s ups and downs by industry, new energy, service, lithium battery, semiconductors, and infrastructure rose, while finance, real estate, healthcare and liquor fell.
[베트남증시 마감시황]
Vietnam’s stock market closed mixed on the 23rd (local time).
The benchmark VN-Index recorded 1,020.34, down 2.27 (0.22%) from the previous trading day, with 156 stocks rising and 187 stocks falling.
The VN30 Index, which includes the top 30 stocks by market capitalization in Vietnam’s stock market, also closed at 1,034.13, down 4.21 (0.41 percent), with 12 stocks rising and 16 stocks declining.
The Hanoi Stock Exchange’s HNX index, which focuses on small and mid-cap stocks, also fell 0.49 (0.24 percent) to 205.30, with 75 stocks rising and 72 stocks falling. The unlisted UPCoM Exchange recorded 71.01, up 0.18 (0.25%), with 170 stocks rising and 154 stocks falling.
The trading volume on the day was VND9.1 trillion ($382 million), a decrease of about 30 percent compared to the previous trading day.
Foreign investors closed the market with a net purchase of 246 billion VND, converting in one day.
[국제유가]
International oil prices rose on the 23rd (local time) as Russia warned it would cut production in response to the price ceiling system introduced by the West. In the New York Mercantile Exchange, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for February of next year finished trading at $79.56 per barrel, up $2.07 (2.67%) from the battlefield.
[금]
The price of gold, a safe haven asset, rose on the 23rd (local time). Gold futures for February next year, the most traded futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange, closed at $1,804.20, up $8.90 (0.5%) an ounce.
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