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Russian foreign policy expert: “Russia will invade if Ukraine joins NATO”

Ukrainian soldiers mobilize armored vehicles amid military tensions with Russia [지토미르 로이터=연합뉴스 자료사진. 재판매 및 DB 금지]

(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Taejong Kim = A Russian foreign policy expert has diagnosed that Russia will invade if Ukraine joins the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

It is analyzed that this is the reason why tensions are rising as Russia recently increased its military force in the region near the Ukraine border.

The British daily The Telegraph reported on the 24th (local time) that Russia will invade Russia without a “cast-iron” guarantee that it will not allow Ukraine to join as a member state, according to an article by Russian diplomat Fyodor Rukiyanov.

NATO is a military alliance established to protect the security of the West against the Soviet-centered Warsaw Pact during the Cold War, and includes Western countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom.

“Moscow wants more than just words from NATO,” Fyodor Lukhanov, who is also chairman of the Foreign and Defense Policy Committee, an association of Russian political analysts, said in an article.

“The recent escalation of tensions in Eastern Europe shows that the old ‘outdated’ principles of security there no longer work,” he said. warned that

“Russia will have to change the system and draw a new ‘red line’,” he added, referring to the negotiations at the time when the Soviet Union recognized Finland’s independence as a condition of neutrality after World War II.

“The same ‘gambling’ could happen in Ukraine in 2008, when a war broke out with a Russian invasion claiming to be provocative by Georgia,” he said.

Tensions are rising at the Russia-Ukraine border as Russia has recently gathered its troops near the Ukrainian border, and there is an analysis that it could invade Ukraine early next year.

The United States and NATO, which support Ukraine on a pro-Western route, held a joint naval exercise on the high seas of the Black Sea on the 12th. Russia has dismissed claims of preparation for an attack, arguing that Ukraine is escalating tensions, including arms aid from the West.

taejong75@yna.co.kr