San Diego Padres host Milwaukee Brewers for Game 4

San Diego Staves Off Elimination in Game 3

The San Diego Padres secured a 4-3 victory in Game 3 to extend the series despite being outhit 11 to 6. Milwaukee catcher William Contreras went 3 for 4 with a solo home run, two runs, and a walk, while shortstop Cooper Pratt added a 2-for-4 performance with a run. For San Diego, second baseman Jake Cronenworth went 2 for 2 with a solo home run out of the ninth spot in the fifth inning. Third baseman Manny Machado continued his strong postseason form by going 1 for 3 with his third RBI of the playoffs, raising his average to .375.

San Diego managed its pitching staff through a notable absence in the bullpen. Mason Miller was unavailable due to the birth of his child, leaving Michael King to take over the closing duties, NY Post reported. King started Game 2 and stepped into the role he once held with the New York Yankees to lock down the win.

Walker Buehler Faces Robert Gasser on the Mound

San Diego turns to right-hander Walker Buehler to start Game 4 against Milwaukee left-hander Robert Gasser. Buehler finished the regular season with a 9-6 record and a 4.63 ERA across 30 starts, posting a 0.80 WHIP and 174 2/3 innings pitched. Gasser enters the matchup with a 5-5 record and a 3.87 ERA over 20 starts and 109 1/3 innings, carrying a 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9, and 8.5 K/9.

Buehler has experienced a drop in velocity and strikeout rates following elbow issues and Tommy John surgery that cost him a chunk of the 2022 campaign and all of 2023, NY Post noted. He has transitioned into a back-end starter relying on groundballs, facing a Milwaukee offense that won 103 games during the regular season to claim the National League’s top seed. Buehler’s career numbers against the Brewers span four starts resulting in a 2-1 record and 2.53 ERA across 21 1/3 innings, with six earned runs, a 1.03 WHIP, one home run, seven walks, and 26 strikeouts. His home splits across 18 regular-season starts this year finished at 5-3 with a 4.24 ERA in 87 innings, allowing 41 earned runs, a 1.24 WHIP, 12 homers, 31 walks, and 69 strikeouts, alongside a postseason career record of 4-4 with a 3.04 ERA across 18 starts and 19 total appearances spanning 94 2/3 innings, 32 earned runs, a 1.15 WHIP, nine homers, 36 walks, and 114 strikeouts. Gasser’s 2026 road splits across nine starts and 10 appearances show a 4-3 record with a 4.36 ERA in 53 2/3 innings, 26 earned runs, a 1.25 WHIP, nine homers, 16 walks, and 49 strikeouts, alongside a postseason career mark across two relief appearances yielding no decisions, a 6.75 ERA in 2 2/3 innings, two earned runs, two solo homers, two walks, and two strikeouts, while having never previously faced the Padres.

Betting Odds and Market Projections for Game 4

Sportsbook operators list the game as an even matchup. BetMGM Sportsbook prices both the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres at -110 on the moneyline, while the over/under is set at 7.5 runs. NY Post betting analyst Michael Leboff recommends the Brewers moneyline at -107 on DraftKings, arguing that market pricing is overvaluing the momentum San Diego gained from its Game 3 win.

One projection suggests a 3-2 victory for San Diego and suggests playing the Padres moneyline lightly to force a decisive Game 5 in Milwaukee, while passing on the run line due to high risk relative to potential payout. The under 7.5 runs is also noted as a market consideration given that the first three games of the series all finished as one-run margins with the under going 2-0-1.

Petco Park Hosts First Pitch at Ten Eastern

Game 4 takes place at Petco Park in San Diego, California, with first pitch set for 10 p.m. ET on Oct. 7, 2026. The broadcast is scheduled for FS1, with live coverage and odds tracking available through major sportsbooks including BetMGM and DraftKings.