Senior Living Demand Surges as Boomers Age
Senior Living: A Booming Real Estate Play Driven by the Aging Boomer Population – Key Takeaways
Here’s a summary of the key points from the article:
Booming Demand: The senior living sector is poised for significant growth due to the aging baby boomer population. Over 4 million boomers will turn 80 in the next five years.
Rising occupancy & Limited Supply: Occupancy rates in both active adult and assisted living communities are increasing rapidly, while new inventory growth has dropped to its lowest level since 2006 (below 1%). This creates a significant supply/demand imbalance.
Ventas’ Investment Strategy: Ventas, a $31 billion REIT, is heavily investing in senior living, acquiring billions of dollars worth of properties annually. They are seeing attractive returns (7% going in, wiht low to mid-teens unlevered IRRs).
Below Replacement Cost Acquisitions: Ventas is strategically buying existing properties below the cost of building new ones,benefiting from the high cost of growth in the sector.
Strong & Durable Tailwinds: Demand for senior living is projected to grow by 28% over the next five years, and these demand drivers are considered “incredibly strong and durable.”
Shifting REIT Landscape: The article draws a parallel to the early 2000s, noting a shift in the REIT landscape. Like data centers and cell towers, senior living/healthcare is gaining prominence as demand increases.
Focus on Existing Assets: Ventas focuses on acquiring existing properties rather than developing new ones, leveraging their large footprint of 850 communities and investing in upgrades to those assets. Supply Constraints: the lack of new supply is a key factor driving up demand and making acquisitions attractive.
In essence, the article paints a picture of a senior living market ripe for investment, fueled by demographic trends and constrained by limited supply. Ventas is positioning itself to capitalize on this opportunity.
