Supreme Court to Decide on Trump’s Eligibility for 2024 Presidential Run

The Supreme Court of the United States announced on the 5th that it will decide whether former President Donald Trump, who is likely to run as a Republican candidate in the November presidential election, is eligible to run. In August of last year, after Trump was indicted on charges of inciting civil war for inciting the invasion of the US Capitol on January 6, 2021, major Democratic civic groups filed lawsuits in every state asking for Trump’s impeachment from running for president. This is a measure taken in response to the Many states rejected the lawsuit, saying the judiciary does not have the authority to determine eligibility to run for president, but the heavily Democratic-leaning Colorado Supreme Court ruled the month last to limit Trump’s presidential run by applying charges of incitement. of rebellion. Trump’s side objected and appealed to the Federal Supreme Court early this month, and the Supreme Court announced that it had accepted Trump’s request for an appeal and hearing and decided to hold the first oral argument on the 8th of the month next. The judgment issues and future prospects were summarized in three questions and answers.

Former US President Donald Trump is seen campaigning in Clinton, Iowa, where the first Republican primary will be held on the 6th (local time). / Reuters

C1. What was the Colorado state government?

On the 19th of last month, the Colorado Supreme Court said, “(Immediately after the 2020 presidential election), President Trump encouraged and encouraged violence and illegal actions to disrupt the peaceful transfer of power,” and added, “A post will the President is suspended under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution.” “I don’t think I’m fit to perform,” he said. This constitutional amendment provides that ‘no person who has taken part in riot or rebellion, or who has provided assistance to his enemies, shall not be eligible for public office.’ This was the first judgment limiting his presidential run by applying charges of ‘inciting rebellion.’ Maine Secretary of State Shena Bellos (Democrat) also made the same decision based on the 14th Amendment. Unlike other states, Maine state law allows the Secretary of State to prioritize a candidate’s eligibility to run for public office.

C2. The prospects for the Supreme Court ruling are

The Federal Supreme Court has an ‘absolute conservative advantage’ structure, with six out of nine justices (including the Chief Justice) appointed by a Republican president. For this reason, the US political world predicts that there is a high possibility of a ruling favorable to Trump. The US media is talking about the possibility that the Supreme Court will overturn the Colorado Supreme Court ruling before the Colorado primary (March 5), or that the ruling and the hearing will go ahead but the final ruling is postponed until after the presidential election. In both of these scenarios, there is no problem with Trump running. The Wall Street Journal said, “There is also a plan to not make a decision, saying that Congress, not the Supreme Court, has the authority to resolve ‘election disputes,'” and added, “(If’ r Supreme Court suspending judgment), there will be confusion.” The possibility that the Supreme Court may decide to limit his candidacy by citing the Colorado Supreme Court ruling cannot be ruled out.

C3. How will the Supreme Court decision affect Trump’s candidacy?

Colorado and Maine suspended the effect of the decision to bar Trump from running until after the appeal. This means that the effect of the judgment will continue to be delayed while the Federal Supreme Court’s legal proceedings are ongoing. For this reason, Trump’s name is still on the ballots in these states. CNN reported, “Laws are underway to determine Trump’s eligibility to run not only in Colorado, but also in more than 25 US states” and “If the Supreme Court overrules the Colorado ruling, Trump will have no problem running.” Conversely, if the Supreme Court upholds the Colorado Supreme Court ruling before the primary, Trump will be barred from running and all votes cast for Trump during the primary stage in each state will be invalidated . Trump will almost disappear from the 2024 presidential election. If such a ruling is made, it is very likely that Trump supporters will protest and social chaos will become extreme.

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