Bitcoin Bounces Back: Will US Employment Report Send It Soaring Past $58K
Cryptocurrency Market Sees Slight Rebound Amidst Economic Uncertainty
The cryptocurrency market experienced a slight rebound on the 4th, regaining some stability during the New York time zone. However, as the New York stock market turned downward during the day, the cryptocurrency market’s rebound trend weakened somewhat over time.
Bitcoin Attempts to Turn the Tide
Bitcoin attempted to turn the tide by passing $58,000 at one point during the session, but further advances were hampered by caution over existing negative factors, including concerns over the U.S. economic health. Bitcoin traded around $58,000 in the latter half of the session.
U.S. Labor Market Shows Signs of Weakening
The number of job openings in the U.S. announced that day was 7.67 million in July, below the Dow Jones forecast of 8.1 million and the lowest since January 2021. This was seen as further evidence that the U.S. labor market is weakening. According to CNBC, Nick Bunker, director of economic research at Indeed Hiring Lab, said, “The labor market is no longer cooling to pre-pandemic levels. It has surpassed them.” He added, “No one, especially not Fed policymakers, wants the labor market to cool further at this point.”
Markets Expected to Remain Range-Bound
Markets are expected to remain range-bound until Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to provide additional clues about the health of the U.S. economy and the pace of future Fed rate cuts. If the jobs report is weaker than expected, as it was last month, it could significantly increase concerns about a U.S. recession and increase the Fed’s rate cut.
Uncertainty Surrounds Market Sentiment
Uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election and geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on market sentiment. In addition, the potential for further unwinding of yen carry trades due to potential further appreciation of the Japanese yen is also negative for risk assets.
Cryptocurrency Market Cap Sees Slight Increase
As of 3:45 p.m. on the 4th, New York time, the cryptocurrency market capitalization on CoinMarketCap was $2.3 trillion, down 0.21% from 24 hours ago. However, compared to before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on that day, it increased by $40 billion. The 24-hour trading volume of the cryptocurrency market was $76 billion, up 32.76%. Bitcoin dominance was 56.5%, and Ethereum dominance was 14.5%. The fear and greed index of the cryptocurrency market is 34, indicating a fearful sentiment.
Altcoins Show Mixed Performances
Other altcoins in the top 10 by market cap have shown mixed performances over the past 24 hours. BNB is down 2.71%, XRP is down 1.14%, Tron is down 1.05%, and TON is down 7.64%. On the other hand, Solana is up 1.47% and Dogecoin is up 0.20%.
Cryptocurrency Futures Show Mixed Flow
Bitcoin futures for September delivery on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) fell 0.15% to $58,150, October futures fell 0.28% to $58,535, and November futures fell 0.24% to $59,035. Ethereum for September delivery rose 0.22% to $2,461.00, and October futures rose 1.21% to $2,502.50.
Dollar Index and Treasury Yields Fall
The dollar index fell 0.50% to 101.32, according to Wall Street Journal data. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 6.7 basis points to 3.769%. The decline in the yield on safe-haven Treasury bonds means that Treasury prices are rising. The New York stock market closed mixed.
Cryptocurrency ETFs See Net Outflow
Bitcoin spot ETFs listed on the U.S. stock market have seen a five-day outflow. According to Farside Investors, the net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs on Tuesday was $287.8 million, the largest since May 1. Several funds, including Fidelity’s $162.3 million, recorded negative flows. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF was recorded to have no inflows or outflows.
Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $47.4 million. Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which converted from a trust to an ETF, saw $52.3 million flow out. Fidelity Ethereum ETF alone saw $4.9 million inflows. With ETHE’s cumulative net outflows surpassing $2.6 billion, cumulative net outflows from all Ethereum spot ETFs have surpassed $500 million.
The continued outflow of funds from Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs has been pointed out as further restraining market sentiment. The outflow of funds from cryptocurrency ETFs is due to depressed market sentiment, but as a result, it is creating a vicious cycle that further dampens investment sentiment.
