Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady Amid TrumpS Pressure
Updated June 18, 2025
The Federal Reserve opted to maintain its benchmark interest rate, resisting pressure from President Donald Trump for a reduction. The Fed announced Wednesday it would keep the short-term rate in a range of 4.25 to 4.5 percent.This decision aligns with expectations, marking no rate cuts since December.
The central bank’s decision reflects concerns about a perhaps weakening economy. recent data showed a larger-than-expected drop in retail sales, and jobless claims reached an eight-month high at 248,000. However, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2 percent, suggesting a relatively stable, though slowing, labor market.
“The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated,” the Federal Reserve said in a statement, emphasizing its dual mandate.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the labor market isn’t a major driver of inflation. he cited Trump’s economic and immigration policies, along with rising consumer prices, as key factors influencing the decision to hold rates steady. April’s consumer price increase was 2.1 percent.
“We’ve seen goods inflation moving up a bit,” Powell said, anticipating further increases during the summer. He explained that tariffs take time to impact consumers and that the effects are beginning to surface.
Economists concur with the Fed’s cautious approach.Scott Helfstein, SVP, head of investment strategy at Global X, stated, “While the Fed is getting pressured to move on rates, the US economy is proving more resilient than expected…the next revision to US growth could be higher, and that warrants waiting.”
Michael Ashley Schulman,partner and chief investment officer at Running Point Capital Advisors,added that powell has “little urgency to ease,” noting that any easing would be highly stimulative and lower U.S. debt interest expense.
Policymakers are also monitoring trump’s evolving tariff policies and escalating Middle East tensions. Concerns about the Strait of Hormuz closure have fueled worries about rising oil prices, despite a recent decline before the Israel-Iran conflict.
Before the announcement, Trump criticized the Fed’s decision to maintain rates.”Powell’s too late,” Trump said, adding, “Maybe I should go to the Fed…I’d do a much better job than these people.”
Powell’s term expires next May, and Trump has recently softened his stance on firing him.At the news conference, Powell responded to the attacks, stating, “Everything we do is in service to our public mission.”
What’s next
The Federal Reserve will continue to monitor economic data, including inflation and employment figures, as well as global events, to determine the appropriate course for monetary policy.Future decisions will balance the need to support economic growth with the goal of maintaining price stability.
