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Focus: Xi Jinping’s third term, further strengthens Communist Party rule by concentrating power | Reuters

BEIJING (Reuters) – One of the first things Chinese President Xi Jinping did in 2012 after taking the top post as general secretary of the Communist Party of China was to hold a regular meeting with 25 members of the Central Politburo for the People’s Lives. The People’s Democratic Republic of China was to revive the event. This was the practice of the Mao Zedong era.

In the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which will be held from 16th, Xi Jinping is expected to break the precedent and decide to stay in office for five years or more. FILE PHOTO: The exhibition hall for the history of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing September 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo

The revival of the group, which has led to the practice of “self-criticism” before the general secretary, marks Mr Xi’s departure from decades of collective leadership and towards a concentration of power not seen since the Mao era. symbolic event.

At the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which will be held from the 16th, Mr Xi, 69, is expected to break precedent and decide to stay in office for five years or more. This would confirm the dominance of the communist party, with Mr Xi as the official “core”.

A look at the next members of the Communist Party’s Politburo Standing Committee will give you an idea of ​​how much Xi will suppress dissidents within the party. Few experts, however, expect any significant change in the current paths and methods. Rather, it is expected to maintain or strengthen the concentration of power.

Despite China’s recent backfires, including its strict “zero-corona” policy to curb the spread of the new coronavirus, its aggressive diplomatic stance, and the transformation of its once-prosperous “platform” economy, Stick to these policies. Some have criticized this as a manifestation of the risks of strengthening the authoritarian regime.

Wu Guoguang, a senior fellow at Stanford University who has worked within the Chinese Communist Party, says leaders who suppress opposition and ironically gain power inevitably feel insecure and reluctant to share power or change direction .Point out that it is a thing. “Xi will fear that self-correction could be used by his opponents as a means to defeat him,” he said.

Some experts say the government could make some adjustments to its policies after the party congress, or, in the words of the Communist Party, “adjust with the times.” But the general direction is expected to remain the same for the next few years.

“Xi is having a very hard time correcting himself,” said Ashley Essaray, a political scientist at the University of Alberta.

The lack of a clear successor in sight also allows Mr Xi to run alone, but the longer he remains in power, the greater the risk.

China’s economy has slowed over the past year, Russia’s support for Putin, and the increasingly seen ‘misguided’ zero-coronavirus policy, but Xi’s power base appears to be solid. Over the past decade, China has prioritized security, expanded the role of the state in the economy, strengthened its military arsenal, pushed its foreign policy, and increased pressure to take control of Taiwan.

When the elders chose Mr. Xi as their leader, he was considered a safe choice. He was expected to overhaul the institution, which had put the party first, had become inflexible due to corruption, and had lost its raison d’etre amid economic liberalisation.

Xi’s appointment to the Politburo Standing Committee in 2007 raised hopes for reform among liberals and the West. Xi’s father, when he was secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee, supported the reform and opening up of then leader Deng Xiaoping.

But Mr Xi made it a priority to protect the party, making it the center of life in China and himself the center of the party.

As of April 2022, 4.7 million bureaucrats had been investigated and many purged under Mr Xi in the name of fighting corruption and restoring public confidence in the party. This had the effect of eliminating political opponents, appointing his own subordinates to take their place, and at the same time gaining the support of the people.

Mr Xi has also silenced dissent and banned “disrespectful” discussions of the party by party members. All comments critical of Xi have been removed from the internet.

In 2016, Xi made himself the “core” of the party, and in 2018 he abolished the two-term presidential limit, paving the way for lifelong rule.

Establishment scholars argue that a country as large and diverse as China needs a strong central authority and a strong leader. The success in alleviating poverty, the efficiency in building infrastructure and hosting events such as the Beijing Winter Olympics, and eliminating the new coronavirus epidemic, he said, are proof of that.

But Dali Yang, a professor of Chinese politics at the University of Chicago, said Mr Xi may feel the need to make more compromises in a third term, especially given the growing backlash against his zero-corona policy.

“Before the latest outbreak of COVID-19, people generally supported Xi’s policies, even if they were painful. We may have to accept that,” Yang said.

(Reporter by Yew Lun Tian)