Trump’s Investment Surge: A New Era for US Economic Activity
US Government Weighs Intervention in Critical Industries Amidst Global Competition
The U.S. government is reportedly considering meaningful interventions in key industries, a move that echoes historical precedents but is driven by contemporary concerns over national security and global economic competition, especially with China. While the specifics of the current proposals remain under wraps, the deadline for decisions is set for September 17th.
Past Precedent
The United States has a well-documented history of intervening in various industries,especially when national defense is at stake.Mark Wilson, a historian at the University of North Carolina, Charlotte, specializing in the military-industrial complex, notes that these interventions were often temporary, typically occurring during wartime, economic crises, or in the form of bailouts to prevent the collapse of major players in critical sectors.
Examples of such interventions include the U.S. government acquiring a majority stake in General Motors to prevent its collapse following the 2008 financial crisis. The government eventually sold off its shares, albeit at a loss to taxpayers. In the 1970s, defense giant Lockheed and automaker Chrysler both received government bailouts to avert bankruptcy.
During World War I, President Woodrow Wilson temporarily nationalized the nation’s railroads, returning them to private ownership after the conflict concluded. The Roosevelt administration implemented extensive interventions during the Great Depression and World War II, ranging from the establishment of the Tennessee Valley Authority to significant investments in the nation’s manufacturing capabilities.
China Looms Large
Unlike past interventions driven by economic crises or declared wars, the current considerations are shaped by the resurgence of great power competition with Russia and China, coupled with the supply chain disruptions exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. These factors have spurred a more nationalistic approach to economic policy, according to UNC’s Wilson.
Experts like Danzman highlight that the U.S. increasingly recognizes china’s economic model,which relies on manufacturing overcapacity that floods global markets,making it arduous for other nations to compete.
The vulnerability of the U.S. to China’s dominance in the rare-earth supply chain became starkly evident in April.When Beijing imposed export restrictions on the U.S., automakers warned of potential production halts due to a rare-earth shortage within weeks. This situation forced the U.S. back to the negotiating table with Beijing, as noted by Baskaran.
“The historical moment we’re in does seem to be one where there is this reassessment of assumptions of the previous generation about the efficacy of markets and free trade to solve all our problems in national security,” Wilson observed.
The central question, according to Danzman, is whether state intervention can effectively address market failures that impact national security, particularly in industries like rare earths. She cautions that “When you step in to try to address one of these market failures with this kind of government intervention, you can have a cascade of new market failures. You’re distorting the market more.”
