[여론조사①] Lee 39.6, Yoon 41.9, Shim 2.5, Ahn 7.8… Lee-Yun 2.3%p

According to a poll conducted by MBC commissioned by Korea Research, Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and People’s Strength candidate Yoon Seok-yeol are engaged in a close battle with a gap within the margin of error.

When asked who would vote for the presidential election tomorrow, 39.6% of respondents chose Lee Jae-myung, 41.9% of Yoon Seok-yeol, 2.5% of Justice Party candidate Shim Sang-jung, and 7.8% of People’s Party candidate Ahn Cheol-su.

With the National Revolutionary Party candidate Huh Kyung-young remaining at 1.1% and the rest of the other candidates at less than 1%, ‘no’, ‘don’t know’ and no response were 6.9%.

Compared to the survey conducted by the three terrestrial broadcasters a week ago, the gap in approval ratings for the two candidates, Jae-myung Lee and Seok-yeol Yoon, has narrowed from 4.0%p to 2.3%p, within the margin of error.

85.2% of respondents said they would continue to support the candidate they supported, and 14.1% said they could change it.

In the question of which candidate has the highest probability of winning regardless of whether they support it or not, 42.9% of Candidate Jae-myung Lee and 48.7% of Candidate Seok-yeol Yoon showed a 5.8%p gap within the margin of error.

When asked about their intention to vote, 84.6% of the respondents answered that they would ‘must vote’, and 12.5% ​​said ‘will vote if possible’.

In this presidential election, 42.5% answered that ‘a passport candidate should be elected to re-create the government’, and 49.6% answered ‘an opposition candidate should be elected to change the government.’

This survey was commissioned by Korea Research by MBC and conducted for two days from the 22nd to the 23rd, and the sampling error is ±3.1% points at a 95% confidence level.

—– [여론조사 개요] —–

Investigation request: MBC

Research Agency: Korea Research International

Survey target: Men and women 18 years of age or older residing across the country

Survey period: February 22-23 (2 days)

Survey method: (provided by 3 domestic telecommunication companies) Wireless phone interview using 100% of mobile phone virtual (safe) number

Method of selection of subjects: allocation by gender/age/region

Sample size: 1,005 people nationwide

Response rate: 19.9% ​​(5,045 calls, 1,005 responses)

Weight calculation and application method: Weighting by region/sex/age (cell weighted, based on resident registration demographics of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of January 2022)

Sampling error: 95% confidence level ±3.1% points

Question Content: Refer to the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee